The Propensity To Move: A Longitudinal Analysis.
Analyzes social and longitudinal factors related to the propensity to move in order to strengthen the existing foundation for a forecasting model of population mobility. The investigation proceeds in two stages. First, forces that condition the individual's propensity to move are examined. Second, the effects identified are then traced at an aggregate scale for 12 separate metropolitan areas to determine which aggregate indexes capture that most important features of local population composition for projecting intermetropolitan migration. Findings reveal that observed mobility rates result from repeated and frequent moves by the same people rather than single moves by the observed population at risk. The tempo of mobility in metropolitan area is strongly influenced by the relative mix of hyper- and hypomobile residents. This dimension of population composition is measured most effectively by indexes of prior mobility, augmented by customary socioeconomic measures. 45 pp. Ref.