This report is an investigation into the scope for development and optimisation of policy interventions centred around the Horizon 2020 Programme (hereafter H2020), along ten thematic lines suggested by a recent crowdsourcing exercise. The study was conducted between June and September 2014. It was undertaken from a foresight perspective and seeks to explore links between long-term, forward-looking approaches and funding priorities. Chapter 1 presents the objectives and summarises the methods of the report; Chapter 2 describes the themes and analyses the nature and implications of their trend development; Chapter 3 presents a SWOT analysis oriented to clustering the themes and designed to expose what might usefully be done to improve knowledge and its application based on the current situation; Chapter 4 tackles the uncertainties of the environment in which thematic development and policy intervention will work by means of scenario analysis to identify critical dependencies; Chapter 5 concludes by integrating the results from the Report as a whole and making suggestions as to how the framework constructed in this report can be consistently reused. This report is based on: a trend analysis of significant current and emergent developments along these themes; a SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analysis from the perspective of European innovation system stakeholders in the context of societal grand challenges; and scenario development taking into account the critical uncertainties and policy implications associated with these themes leading to 'meta-scenarios' showing how the themes will interact into the future.

Please note: This report is not available on the RAND website but can be downloaded from the European Union website.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    Themes and Trends

  • Chapter Three

    SWOT

  • Chapter Four

    Scenarios

  • Chapter Five

    Conclusion

  • Chapter Six

    References

  • Appendix A

    Methodology

Research conducted by

The research described in this report was prepared for the European Commission Directorate-General for Communications Networks, Content & Technology (DG CONNECT) and conducted by RAND Europe.

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