RAND Statistics Seminar Series

Spectral Analysis of Faint Astronomical Objects: Bayesian Modeling, Computation, and Inference

Presented by David van Dyk, University of Pittsburgh
Thursday March 20, 2008
10:30 A.M. PT
Conference Room 5312
RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA
Please contact Denise Miller if you would like to attend this seminar.

Abstract

The development of ever more sophisticated space-based telescopes brings forth richer astronomical data that are opening a new window on the cosmos. Instruments designed to record high-energy electromagnetic radiation (X-rays and gamma-rays), for example, are clarifying our understanding of some of the most energetic events in the universe. Matter falling into black holes, the birth and death of stars, and the collisions of galaxies all can be explored through their high-energy spectra. This cosmic exploration, however, requires careful quantitative analysis of sometimes very limited photon counts. Statistical methods must account not only for the complexity of the astronomical objects themselves, but also of the instruments and the scientific questions that are posed. In this talk we discuss the search for narrow emission lines in spectra. The spectra are the distribution of photon energies and the emission lines are narrow ranges of energy with excess photon emission. The search for lines involves constructing a multi-level model that accounts for data degradation, instrumental effects, and the structure in the astronomical sources. The complexity of the model leads to highly multimodal likelihoods and complicated inferential questions. Standard test statistics cannot be directly used to evaluate the evidence for including lines and computational methods must be specially tailored to the problem. In the talk I will emphasize the use of profile methods for exploratory data analysis and a generalization of the Gibbs sampler that samples incompatible conditional distributions but is guaranteed to have the target posterior distribution as its stationary distribution.

This is is joint work with Taeyoung Park and the California-Harvard Statistics Collaboration.

Speaker Bio

David van Dyk is an associate professor in the Department of Statistics at The University of California at Irvine. His scholarly work focuses on methodological and computational issues involved with Bayesian analysis of highly structured statistical models and emphasizes serious interdisciplinary research. Professor van Dyk's primary area of interdisciplinary work is Astro-statistics; he coordinates the California-Harvard Astrostatisics Collaboration. The group's current work focuses on constructing and fitting highly structured models for data obtained with the Chandra X-ray Observatory. Full details on the talk and additional information about the speaker are below and in the attached flyer. Dr. van Dyk's seminar will be of particular interest to researchers with interests in Bayesian analysis and/or Astro-statistics.



Attending a Seminar

Other Locations/Times:
Washington, D.C. Conf. Rm. 4132: 1:30pm ET
Pittsburgh Conf. Rm. 6202: 1:30pm ET

RAND visitors are welcome to attend and must RSVP at least one day prior to the seminar. To ensure your attendance please contact Denise Miller at dmiller@rand.org with your name, company (or university) affiliation, and national citizenship (for security purposes).

For parking and directions to RAND's Santa Monica office, please see: http://www.rand.org/about/locations/santa-monica.html.

For parking and directions to RAND's Pittsburgh office, please see: http://www.rand.org/about/locations/pittsburgh.html.

For further information and to be added to the mailing list contact Denise Miller at dmiller@rand.org.