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Technology, machines, and software that have the ability to be self-directed and learn from their actions are generally known as artificial intelligence. In the early days of computing, RAND researchers examined and tried to develop such technology and apply it for use in political and military simulations.

Report
Could Artificial Intelligence Be Misused to Plan Biological Attacks?
Previous biological attacks that failed because of a lack of information might succeed in a world in which AI tools like large language models could bridge that gap. And given the rapid evolution of AI and biotechnology, governmental capacity to understand or regulate them is limited.
Oct 16, 2023
Commentary
How Might AI Affect the Rise and Fall of Nations?
As artificial intelligence continues to advance, geopolitics may never be the same. The AI development path that ultimately unfolds will matter enormously for the shape and contours of the future world.
Nov 3, 2023

Explore Artificial Intelligence

Commercial Book
Deterrence Under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare
Using insights from computer science, Deterrence Under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare evaluates how AI could make nuclear war winnable, and whether that possibility is likely.
Dec 5, 2023
Report
Using AI to Identify Youth Suicide Risk: What Does the Evidence Say?
In response to the youth mental health crisis, some schools have begun using artificial intelligence to help identify students at risk for suicide and self-harm. How are these tools being used? Are they accurate? And what risks might they bring?
Dec 5, 2023
Report
Demographic and Geographic Characteristics of Green Stormwater Infrastructure Investments in Five U.S. Cities: A Machine Learning–Based Analysis
This report presents the results of an exploratory machine learning–based analysis of green stormwater infrastructure asset data across five cities in the United States.
Dec 4, 2023
Visualization
Evaluating the Demographic and Geographic Characteristics of Green Stormwater Infrastructure: Findings from a Machine Learning–Based Analysis of Five U.S. Cities
This visual presents the results of an exploratory machine learning–based analysis of green stormwater infrastructure asset data across five cities in the United States.
Dec 4, 2023
Journal Article
Predicting the Quality of Revisions in Argumentative Writing
The ability to revise is key to students’ writing success. Identifying whether an argument revision (AR) is successful is complex because it depends on the argument context (AC). We developed Chain-of-Thought prompts to facilitate ChatGPT-generated ACs for AR quality predictions.
Nov 30, 2023
Report
Conflict Projections in U.S. Central Command: Incorporating Climate Change
This report presents an analysis of the impact of climate change on the frequency of conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility.
Nov 29, 2023
Commentary
Biden Should Call China's Bluff on Responsible AI to Safeguard the 2024 Elections
Few in the Biden administration will be surprised to learn that Beijing is lying about its intentions and activities when it comes to influence operations. But lies, maybe even especially blatant ones, present diplomatic opportunity.
Nov 14, 2023
Blog
Supporting Veterans, Israel-Hamas War, AI and Geopolitics: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on supporting America's veterans, what Israel's ground offensive in Gaza can and cannot accomplish, how AI might affect the rise and fall of nations, and more.
Nov 10, 2023
Commentary
Nations Must Collaborate on AI and Biotech—or Be Left Behind
As two revolutionary technologies—machine learning and gene editing—converge, forward-looking policy is essential to both mitigate risks and leverage opportunities.
Oct 31, 2023
Report
Exploring red teaming to identify new and emerging risks from AI foundation models
RAND Europe and the Centre for Long-Term Resilience organised a workshop to discuss red teaming as a method to identify the risks and capabilities of artificial intelligence foundation models in the lead up to the AI Safety Summit in November 2023.
Oct 31, 2023
Report
Industry and Government Collaboration on Security Guardrails for AI Systems: Summary of the AI Safety and Security Workshops
These conference proceedings capture the industry and government perspectives emerging from a series of workshops in 2023 to inform policymakers and the broader public discussion about artificial intelligence safety and security.
Oct 31, 2023
Multimedia
Keeping Up with the Joneses: How Can DoD Address Its Technical Talent Shortage?
The U.S. Department of Defense recognizes that it is struggling to recruit and retain the technical talent it needs. An October 2023 panel discussion examined the factors behind the department’s current shortage of technical talent.
Oct 30, 2023
Blog
Israel-Hamas War, AI and Gene Editing, Social Media Regulation: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on the Israel-Hamas war, the convergence of machine learning and gene editing, regulating social media while protecting free speech, and more.
Oct 27, 2023
Commentary
AUKUS as Big Science?
AUKUS—the trilateral security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States—framed as a multinational quest for discovery rather than a security pact made sensible by deterrence logics, could be a political boon, both diplomatically and domestically.
Oct 24, 2023
Report
Machine Learning and Gene Editing at the Helm of a Societal Evolution
The confluence of machine learning and gene editing has the potential to transform health care, agriculture, national security, and many other fields. How can policymakers minimize the risks and maximize the benefits?
Oct 23, 2023
Blog
Risks of AI, Israel Faces Hard Choices, China 'Doesn't Get It': RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on the risks of artificial intelligence, tough choices facing the Israeli government, China's blunders on the international stage, and more.
Oct 20, 2023
Commentary
Dismantling the Disinformation Business of Chinese Influence Operations
Some commercial actors benefit from involvement in Chinese influence operations. What steps could the U.S. government take to address this?
Oct 17, 2023
Commentary
Bridging Tech and Humanity: The Role of Foundation Models in Reducing Civilian Harm
Foundation models can recognize patterns and make predictions like human brains; however, they lack the subjective experiences, contextual reasoning, creativity, and embodied grounding that characterize human intelligence and cognition. While foundation models hold massive potential to limit civilian harm, they must be used to supplement—not replace—human analysts.
Oct 17, 2023

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RAND Topic:
Artificial Intelligence

Topic Synonyms:
AI

Research conducted by

Researcher Spotlight

Ishita Ghai

Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND, and Ph.D. Student, Pardee RAND Graduate School

Ishita (Ishi) Ghai is an assistant policy researcher at RAND and a doctoral candidate at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. She is interested in exploring the applications, implications, and ethics pertaining to wearable technology and health IoTs from the lens of behavioral economics. At RAND,…
Alexander C. Hou

Associate Director, Force Modernization and Employment Program, RAND Project AIR FORCE

Alex Hou is associate director of the Force Modernization and Employment Program in Project AIR FORCE and a senior engineer at the RAND Corporation. His research interests include force planning, aircraft and weapon system survivability and effectiveness analysis, crewed-uncrewed teaming,…

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