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Arms Proliferation and Control

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The U.S.-Soviet nuclear arms race ended in détente, but nuclear development efforts and WMD proliferation in India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Iran have caused geopolitical instability since the Cold War's end. RAND has applied strategic analysis to nuclear confrontation scenarios and international deterrence efforts since its earliest work on game theory, with particular focus on the roles of both diplomacy and missile defense systems in global as well as regional security.

Report
How Does North Korea Evade Sanctions?
The United Nations has imposed increasingly restrictive sanctions on North Korea after each of the six nuclear weapons tests that it conducted between 2009 and 2016. Enforcement has been mixed, and North Korea has become adept at several techniques to evade sanctions.
Sep 23, 2021
Content
Where Russia Markets and Sells Advanced Conventional Weapons
Russia uses arms exports to further relations with other countries, influence their political and military leaders, and further its broader foreign and defense policy goals. A series of maps show the extent of its marketing, negotiating, and sales of key weapons systems.
Jun 11, 2021

Explore Arms Proliferation and Control

Report
Perspectives on Economic and Foreign Policies
Topics include the global arms market and a practical approach to its control, relationships between economic and military policy instruments and similar links between economics and security in Central and Eastern Europe.
Jan 1, 1995
Report
Western European Nuclear Forces: A British, a French, and an American View
Each of the three papers herein focuses on the question: What is the best rationale for the continued existence of the West European -- British and French -- nuclear forces in the post Cold War period?
Jan 1, 1995
Journal Article
The Cooperative Threat Reduction Program: Taking Care of the Cold War's Deadly Legacy
The danger of nuclear proliferation from the Former Soviet Union requires continued funding of this initiative.
Jan 1, 1995
Report
Nuclear Deterrence in a Regional Context
This report addresses the question of deterring nuclear attacks by regional adversaries against the United States, U.S. forces overseas, or U.S. allies.
Jan 1, 1995
Research Brief
Regional Deterrence: The Nuclear Dimension
How best to deter nuclear threats by regional states is, thus, an important question for U.S. national security strategy.
Jan 1, 1995
Report
Controlling Conventional Arms Transfers: A New Approach with Application to the Persian Gulf
This report presents a methodology and a practical approach to the control of conventional arms transfers that link United States policy on such transfers to U.S. national and regional interests and strategy.
Jan 1, 1994
Research Brief
Controlling the Flow of Weapon-Usable Fissile Materials
An expansive view of the proliferation threat. They recommend a bold course of action for controlling the flow of weapon-usable fissile materials from both civilian and military sources.
Jan 1, 1994
Research Brief
A New Nuclear Infrastructure
Early in the study, it became clear that all the options for accomplishing DNA's functions had to be assessed in the broader context of the emerging national security environment and the overall nuclear infrastructure.
Jan 1, 1994
Report
Korean Arms Control: Political-Military Strategies, Studies, and Games
This report presents an overview of three fundamental negotiating strategies for dealing with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) on arms control issues.
Jan 1, 1994
Report
Designing and Evaluating Conventional Arms Control Measures: The Case of the Korean Peninsula
This study attempts to design and evaluate effective arms control measures in relation to specific Korean security problems and arms control objectives that the South Korean government should undertake.
Jan 1, 1993
Report
Methodology for Examining Effects of Arms Control Reduction on Tactical Air Forces: An Example from Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty Analysis
This note describes RAND's suggestions on how the tactical air reduction agreement should be structured and how NATO should implement it.
Jan 1, 1993
Report
U.S. Conventional Arms Control for Korea: A Proposed Approach
Presents an approach for integrating arms control into the changing Korean security environment and for evaluating how alternative arms control measures affect U.S. interests.
Jan 1, 1993
Report
An Arms Control Strategy for the New Europe
Arms control, according to this study, has a continuing role to play in addressing Europe's new insecurities and instabilities and, therefore, should be pursued ambitiously for its potential contribution to peace and security.
Jan 1, 1993
Report
Background and Options for Nuclear Arms Control on the Korean Peninsula
The threat posed by North Korea's nuclear weapons development program could significantly increase tensions in Northeast Asia. This Note presents four options for achieving a nuclear-free Korea.
Jan 1, 1992
Report
Generating Tritium Using Civilian Reactors: A Preliminary Evaluation of Alternative Concepts
The unintentional moratorium on tritium production in the United States began in early 1989. The continuing hiatus could affect government thinking, strategy, and action in three time frames.
Jan 1, 1992
Report
Between Worlds: Europe and the Seas in Arms Control
Discusses Soviet efforts to link naval limitations to ongoing negotiations on conventional forces in Europe. It examines the history of these efforts and explores alternatives for approaching naval issues in future arms control talks.
Jan 1, 1991
Report
Within and Beyond Naval Confidence-Building: The Legacy and the Options
Part of a series on naval arms control issues and alternatives, examines what naval confidence-building in its multiple forms brings to the strategic and political equation, probes the character and potential implications of Soviet proposals in this ...
Jan 1, 1991
Report
Gorbachev and GRIT: did arms control succeed because of unilateral actions or in spite of them?
This paper analyzes the strategy of GRIT--Graduated and Reciprocated Initiatives in Tension Reduction--and discusses whether GRIT was successful for Mikhail Gorbachev in his attempts in the late 1980s at unilateral arms control. Called into question ...
Jan 1, 1991
Report
Conventional Forces in Europe: A New Approach to the Balance, Stability, and Arms Control
The author suggests a new analytic framework relating measurements of military capabilities, balance assessment methodologies, and defense objectives to conventional stability.
May 1, 1990
Report
Trends in NATO Central Region Tactical Fighter Inventories: 1950-2005
Identifies major trends since 1950 in the evolution of the force structures of non-U.S. allied air forces in NATO's Central Region. It also examines the direction of these trends to the year 2005, assuming no arms control.
Jan 1, 1990

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RAND Topic:
Arms Proliferation and Control

Research conducted by

Researcher Spotlight

Dalia Dassa Kaye

Adjunct Political Scientist

Dalia Dassa Kaye is an adjunct political scientist at the RAND Corporation. She is also a senior fellow at UCLA's Burkle Center for International Relations. In 2020–2021 she was a visiting scholar at the Wilson Center. She served as the director of RAND’s Center for Middle East Public Policy…
Thomas Van Bibber

M.Phil. Student, Pardee RAND Graduate School, and Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND

Thomas Van Bibber is an assistant policy researcher at RAND and an M.Phil. student at Pardee RAND Graduate School. He has a B.A. in public policy studies with a minor in physics from Duke University. Prior to joining Pardee RAND, he was an associate in the private sector, where he provided…

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