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Arms Proliferation and Control

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The U.S.-Soviet nuclear arms race ended in détente, but nuclear development efforts and WMD proliferation in India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Iran have caused geopolitical instability since the Cold War's end. RAND has applied strategic analysis to nuclear confrontation scenarios and international deterrence efforts since its earliest work on game theory, with particular focus on the roles of both diplomacy and missile defense systems in global as well as regional security.

Report
How Does North Korea Evade Sanctions?
The United Nations has imposed increasingly restrictive sanctions on North Korea after each of the six nuclear weapons tests that it conducted between 2009 and 2016. Enforcement has been mixed, and North Korea has become adept at several techniques to evade sanctions.
Sep 23, 2021
Content
Where Russia Markets and Sells Advanced Conventional Weapons
Russia uses arms exports to further relations with other countries, influence their political and military leaders, and further its broader foreign and defense policy goals. A series of maps show the extent of its marketing, negotiating, and sales of key weapons systems.
Jun 11, 2021

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Report
Future Roles of U.S. Nuclear Forces: Implications for U.S. Strategy
Examines the possible roles of nuclear weapons in contemporary U.S. national security policy.
Jan 1, 2003
Commentary
Don't Open the Door to Russia Yet
Putin may prove sincere about wanting to realign Russia with the West. It may be that changes since the end of the Cold War and Sept. 11 argue for new Continent-wide security arrangements. But these must be grounded in common interest and common practice.
Nov 13, 2001
Commentary
Light Arms Trading in SE Asia
Published commentary by RAND staff.
Mar 1, 2001
Report
Nonproliferation Sanctions
This study examines the United States' use of sanctions against foreign entities to prevent the proliferation of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons.
Jan 1, 2001
Report
From Testing to Deploying Nuclear Forces: The Hard Choices Facing India and Pakistan
This issue paper discusses what decisions India and Pakistan must make in order to attempt to fulfill these requirements and describes the risks involved in their failure to attain them.
Jan 1, 2000
Report
The Changing Quality of Stability in Europe: The Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty Toward 2001
Illustrates that Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) cannot merely exist in stasis but must interact with other arms control activities and other European security instruments.
Jan 1, 2000
Report
China’s Arms Sales: Motivations and Implications
China's arms sales have become the focus of considerable attention and pose a moderate threat to U.S. interests.
Jan 1, 1999
Report
Stopping the Decline in U.S.-Russian Relations
U.S.-Russian relations are poised to resume their drift toward mutual alienation in the face of NATO enlargement. Failure to halt the downward spiral soon will jeopardize arms control regimes and erode U.S.-Russian nonproliferation cooperation.
Jan 1, 1996
Report
Perspectives on Economic and Foreign Policies
Topics include the global arms market and a practical approach to its control, relationships between economic and military policy instruments and similar links between economics and security in Central and Eastern Europe.
Jan 1, 1995
Report
Western European Nuclear Forces: A British, a French, and an American View
Each of the three papers herein focuses on the question: What is the best rationale for the continued existence of the West European -- British and French -- nuclear forces in the post Cold War period?
Jan 1, 1995
Journal Article
The Cooperative Threat Reduction Program: Taking Care of the Cold War's Deadly Legacy
The danger of nuclear proliferation from the Former Soviet Union requires continued funding of this initiative.
Jan 1, 1995
Report
Nuclear Deterrence in a Regional Context
This report addresses the question of deterring nuclear attacks by regional adversaries against the United States, U.S. forces overseas, or U.S. allies.
Jan 1, 1995
Research Brief
Regional Deterrence: The Nuclear Dimension
How best to deter nuclear threats by regional states is, thus, an important question for U.S. national security strategy.
Jan 1, 1995
Report
Controlling Conventional Arms Transfers: A New Approach with Application to the Persian Gulf
This report presents a methodology and a practical approach to the control of conventional arms transfers that link United States policy on such transfers to U.S. national and regional interests and strategy.
Jan 1, 1994
Research Brief
A New Nuclear Infrastructure
Early in the study, it became clear that all the options for accomplishing DNA's functions had to be assessed in the broader context of the emerging national security environment and the overall nuclear infrastructure.
Jan 1, 1994
Research Brief
Controlling the Flow of Weapon-Usable Fissile Materials
An expansive view of the proliferation threat. They recommend a bold course of action for controlling the flow of weapon-usable fissile materials from both civilian and military sources.
Jan 1, 1994
Report
Korean Arms Control: Political-Military Strategies, Studies, and Games
This report presents an overview of three fundamental negotiating strategies for dealing with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) on arms control issues.
Jan 1, 1994
Report
Designing and Evaluating Conventional Arms Control Measures: The Case of the Korean Peninsula
This study attempts to design and evaluate effective arms control measures in relation to specific Korean security problems and arms control objectives that the South Korean government should undertake.
Jan 1, 1993
Report
Methodology for Examining Effects of Arms Control Reduction on Tactical Air Forces: An Example from Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty Analysis
This note describes RAND's suggestions on how the tactical air reduction agreement should be structured and how NATO should implement it.
Jan 1, 1993
Report
U.S. Conventional Arms Control for Korea: A Proposed Approach
Presents an approach for integrating arms control into the changing Korean security environment and for evaluating how alternative arms control measures affect U.S. interests.
Jan 1, 1993

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RAND Topic:
Arms Proliferation and Control

Research conducted by

Researcher Spotlight

Graham Andrews

Assistant Policy Researcher

Graham Andrews is a doctoral candidate at the Pardee RAND Graduate School and an assistant policy researcher at RAND. He holds a Master of Public Administration from the University of Washington, and a B.S. in computer science from the University of Redlands. His research interests include the…
Gregory S. Jones

Adjunct Defense Policy Analyst

Gregory S. Jones is an adjunct defense policy analyst at the RAND Corporation. His research has focused on the potential for terrorists and hostile countries to acquire and use nuclear, chemical, biological, and radiological weapons, and the formulation of policies and actions to control and…

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