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Artificial Intelligence

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Technology, machines, and software that have the ability to be self-directed and learn from their actions are generally known as artificial intelligence. In the early days of computing, RAND researchers examined and tried to develop such technology and apply it for use in political and military simulations.

Report
The Threat of Deepfakes
Various AI technologies are ripe for use in disinformation campaigns. Deepfake videos represent an obvious threat, but voice cloning, deepfake images, and generative text also merit concern. And websites now offer access to deepfake services.
Jul 6, 2022
Report
Machine Learning in Public Policy
Machine learning (ML) can have a significant impact on public policy by modeling complex relationships and augmenting human decisionmaking. But overconfidence in results and incorrectly interpreted algorithms can lead to peril. With interpretability, ML can achieve its promise of more-equitable policy decisions.
Nov 15, 2022

Explore Artificial Intelligence

Blog
Community Schools, Brexit, Coronavirus: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on the promise of community schools, the costs of uncertainty after Brexit, the coronavirus, and more.
Jan 31, 2020
Report
Thinking Machines Will Change Future Warfare
Until now, deterrence has been about humans trying to dissuade other humans from doing something. But what if the thinking is done by AI and autonomous systems? A wargame explored what happens to deterrence when decisions can be made at machine speeds and when states can put fewer human lives at risk.
Jan 27, 2020
Blog
Australia's Fires, Artificial Intelligence, Fentanyl: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on Australia's devastating fires, how artificial intelligence could manipulate the masses, the fentanyl crisis, and more.
Jan 24, 2020
Commentary
Artificial Intelligence and the Manufacturing of Reality
Humans carry flaws in deciding what is or is not real. The internet and other technologies have made it easier to weaponize and exploit these flaws. And artificial intelligence will likely be used to exploit these weaknesses at an unprecedented scale, speed, and level of effectiveness.
Jan 20, 2020
Commentary
What Chess Can Teach Us About the Future of AI and War
Will artificial intelligence (AI) change warfare? It's hard to say. AI itself is not new, but AI as a critical factor in competitions is relatively novel and, as a result, there's not much data to draw from. Perhaps the most interesting examples are in the world of chess.
Jan 3, 2020
Blog
Artificial Intelligence, Refugees, Global Health Security: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on the Pentagon's artificial intelligence strategy, technology's role in the refugee crisis, threats to global health security, and more.
Dec 20, 2019
News Release
Pentagon's Ambitious Vision and Strategy for AI Not Yet Backed by Sufficient Visibility or Resources
The U.S. Department of Defense has articulated an ambitious vision and strategy for artificial intelligence (AI) with the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center as the focal point, but the DoD has yet to provide the JAIC with the visibility, authorities and resource commitments needed to scale AI and its impact across the department.
Dec 17, 2019
Report
How Well Is DoD Positioned for AI?
The U.S. Department of Defense has articulated an ambitious vision and strategy for artificial intelligence. But if it wants to get the maximum benefit from AI-enhanced systems, then it will need to improve its posture along multiple dimensions.
Dec 17, 2019
Commentary
AI for Peace
The United States should apply lessons from the 70-year history of governing nuclear technology by building a framework for governing AI military technology. An AI for Peace program should articulate the dangers of this new technology, principles to manage the dangers, and a structure to shape the incentives for other states.
Dec 13, 2019
Blog
Artificial Intelligence Bias, Russia, Fentanyl: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on bias in algorithms, Russia's limits in the Middle East, understanding the fentanyl crisis, and more.
Nov 29, 2019
Commentary
Did No One Audit the Apple Card Algorithm?
Complex, opaque technologies like artificial intelligence provide significant benefits to society. But those benefits don't eliminate the need for accountability and transparency.
Nov 21, 2019
Blog
Disinformation, Drug Policy, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on tools to fight disinformation online, the negative consequences of punishing pregnant women for drug use, how to ensure public trust in artificial intelligence, and more.
Nov 15, 2019
Blog
Veterans, Autonomous Vehicles, Digital Protests: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on preventing veteran suicide, who's responsible when a car is hacked, how digital protests can affect Fortune 500 companies, and more.
Nov 8, 2019
Commentary
First, Manage Security Threats to Machine Learning
Deception is as old as warfare itself. Until now, the targets of deception operations have been humans. But the introduction of machine learning and artificial intelligence opens up a whole new world of opportunities to deceive by targeting machines.
Nov 4, 2019
Commentary
AI and Irregular Warfare: An Evolution, Not a Revolution
How will artificial intelligence change the way wars are fought? The answer, of course, depends. And it mainly depends on what type of wars are being fought. And how will AI affect the type of wars that the United States is most likely to fight?
Oct 31, 2019
Commentary
Military Deception: AI's Killer App?
Contrary to the promise that AI would deliver an omniscient view of everything happening in the battlespace—the goal of U.S. military planners for decades—it now appears that technologies of misdirection are winning. Military deception, in short, could prove to be AI’s killer app.
Oct 23, 2019
Commentary
Our Future Lies in Making AI Robust and Verifiable
We are hurtling towards a future in which AI is omnipresent. This AI-enabled future is blinding in its possibilities for prosperity, security, and well-being. Yet, it is also crippling in its fragility. What might it take for it all to come to a screeching halt?
Oct 22, 2019
Commentary
Embrace Open-Source Military Research to Win the AI Competition
Unless the Pentagon embraces a more open approach to artificial intelligence, it will be left behind. Private sector innovation in this space is too fast. But what are the risks of disseminating potentially sensitive AI technology? And what should not be disclosed?
Oct 16, 2019
Report
The Emerging Risk of Virtual Societal Warfare
Living in an information society opens unprecedented opportunities for hostile rivals to cause disruption, delay, inefficiency, and harm. Social manipulation techniques are evolving beyond disinformation and cyberattacks on infrastructure sites. How can democracies protect themselves?
Oct 9, 2019
Commentary
A Code of Conduct for AI in Defense Should Be an Extension of Other Military Codes
An AI code of conduct for defense should look a lot like all other defense codes of conduct. A global society that would create the Geneva Convention is a society that believes in a moral code for warfare. This same code could extend into its weaponized algorithms.
Sep 11, 2019

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RAND Topic:
Artificial Intelligence

Topic Synonyms:
AI

Research conducted by

Researcher Spotlight

Gabriel Hassler

Associate Statistician

Gabriel Hassler (he/him) is an associate statistician at the RAND Corporation. He is interested broadly in computational Bayesian statistics and developing flexible yet highly structured statistical models that are scalable to big data. He has applied his methodological work to study…
Yun Kang

Associate Director, Acquisition and Technology Policy Program

Yun Kang is the associate director of the Acquisition and Technology Policy Program in RAND's National Security Research Division, and a senior operations researcher at the RAND Corporation. He is currently part of a management team overseeing an annual $20M+ research program whose portfolio…

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