RAND Research Topic: Delphi Method 2019-03-19T15:47:51Z Copyright (c) 2019, The RAND Corporation RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/topics/delphi-method.html Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P3558.html 1967-01-01T00:00:00Z 1967-01-01T00:00:00Z A description of the Delphi Technique which attempts to make effective use of informed intuitive judgment in long-range forecasting. Recommendations for Improving Access to Primary Care Susanne Hempel; Susan Stockdale; Marjorie Danz; Danielle E Rose; Susan Kirsh; Idamay Curtis; Lisa V. Rubenstein https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2536.html 2018-08-31T12:00:00Z 2018-08-31T12:00:00Z Access to primary care is critical for ensuring population health. Evidence-based priorities can help health care organizations improve access and access management. Citizen Science Sarah Parks; Camilla d'Angelo; Salil Gunashekar https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67669.html 2018-08-16T12:00:00Z 2018-08-16T12:00:00Z The final report in a three-part series on citizen science looks at the growing number of online tools for gathering and understanding opinions. A High-Quality Correctional Workforce Is Essential Joe Russo; Dulani Woods; George B. Drake; Brian A. Jackson https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2386.html 2018-08-07T18:45:00Z 2018-08-07T18:45:00Z Correctional staff can have a significant impact not only on the lives of offenders and their chances for successful outcomes, but also on the communities they return to upon release. An expert panel identified and prioritized ways to address the sector's workforce concerns. Lack of Preregistered Analysis Plans Allows Unacceptable Data Mining for and Selective Reporting of Consensus in Delphi Studies Sean Grant; Marika Booth; Dmitry Khodyakov https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67566.html 2018-04-17T12:00:00Z 2018-04-17T12:00:00Z A lack of standards and norms for defining and publicly registering analysis plans in advance threatens the credibility of using consensus-oriented Delphi processes to inform health research practice, and policy. Involving Stakeholders in Programme Theory Specification Felix van Urk; Sean Grant; Chris Bonell https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67534.html 2018-03-28T14:00:00Z 2018-03-28T14:00:00Z Non-academic developers of a complex intervention can arrive at consensus about programme theory after the programme has been developed and actively participate in the development of a logic model to be used as a framework for subsequent evaluation. Practical Considerations for Using Online Methods to Engage Patients in Guideline Development Sean Grant; Glen Hazlewood; Holly Peay; Ann Lucas; Ian D. Coulter; Arlene Fink; Dmitry Khodyakov https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67364.html 2017-10-31T11:30:00Z 2017-10-31T11:30:00Z This study developed practical considerations for including large, diverse, and geographically dispersed groups of patients in clinical practice guideline development through online engagement methods. Standardization of Health Outcomes Assessment for Depression and Anxiety Alexander Obbarius; Lisa Lisa van Maasakkers; Lee Baer; David M. Clark; Anne G. Crocker; Edwin de Beurs; Paul M. Emmelkamp; Toshi A. Furukawa; Erik Hedman-Lagerlof; Maria Kangas; Lucie Langford; Alain Lesage; Doris M. Mwesigire; Sandra Nolte; Vikram Patel; Paul A. Pilkonis; Harold Alan Pincus; Roberta A. Reis; Graciela Rojas; Cathy D. Sherbourne; Dave Smithson; Caleb Stowell; Kelly Woolaway-Bickel; Matthias Rose https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67298.html 2017-09-06T09:45:00Z 2017-09-06T09:45:00Z Experts and patient advocates developed recommendations for an internationally standardized dataset to measure patient-reported outcomes for depression and anxiety disorders. Engaging Patients and Caregivers Managing Rare Diseases to Improve the Methods of Clinical Guideline Development Dmitry Khodyakov; Sean Grant; Ian D. Coulter; Arlene Fink https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67170.html 2017-06-02T17:00:00Z 2017-06-02T17:00:00Z A new, online method to engage more patients and caregivers in developing clinical guidelines will be created and then tested, using Duchenne muscular dystrophy as an example. Screening Tool of Older Person's Prescriptions Dmitry Khodyakov; Aileen Ochoa; Brianne L. Olivieri-Mui; Carla Bouwmeester; Barbara Zarowitz; Meenakshi Patel; Diana Ching; Becky Briesacher https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67054.html 2017-03-15T17:30:00Z 2017-03-15T17:30:00Z Experts have identified new criteria for assessing the quality of prescribing in nursing homes. Comparative Analysis of Stakeholder Experience with an Online Approach to Prioritizing Patient-Centered Research Topics Dmitry Khodyakov; Sean Grant; Daniella Meeker; Marika Booth; Nathaly Pacheco-Santivanez; Katherine K. Kim https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67053.html 2017-03-14T08:00:00Z 2017-03-14T08:00:00Z Engaging diverse groups of stakeholders through online collaborative platforms is a promising and scalable approach to prioritizing patient-centered research topics. Acceptability of an Online Modified Delphi Panel Approach for Developing Health Services Performance Measures Dmitry Khodyakov; Sean Grant; Claire E. Barber; Deborah A. Marshall; John M. Esdaile; Diane Lacaille https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP66653.html 2016-09-29T12:15:00Z 2016-09-29T12:15:00Z An online Delphi-based process to select criteria for defining health care quality was rated as acceptable by three groups of participants, indicating it could be used to engage stakeholders in developing performance measures. SEaRCH™ Expert Panel Process Ian D. Coulter; Pamela D. Elfenbaum; Shamini Jain; Wayne B. Jonas https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP66279.html 2016-01-21T10:00:00Z 2016-01-21T10:00:00Z In this paper we describe expert panels and ways to adapt those models to form part of Samueli Institute's Scientific Evaluation and Research of Claims in Health Care (SEaRCH™) program. The Potential of Blind Collaborative Justice Carolyn Wong; Eyal Aharoni; Gursel Rafig oglu Aliyev; Jacqueline Du Bois https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR804-1.html 2015-08-07T08:00:00Z 2015-08-07T08:00:00Z RAND researchers investigated two potential contributors to biased testimony within adversarial litigation involving forensic evidence: experts' knowledge of which side they were testifying for, and lack of input from relevant scientific communities. Visions of Law Enforcement Technology in the Future Richard Silberglitt; Brian G. Chow; John S. Hollywood; Dulani Woods; Mikhail Zaydman; Brian A. Jackson https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR908.html 2015-03-16T19:32:00Z 2015-03-16T19:32:00Z The Law Enforcement Futuring Workshop identified ten possible future scenarios and 30 high-priority technology needs for law enforcement based on consideration of current and future trends in society, technology, and law enforcement. Weighing Afghanistan in 2013 Against the Counterinsurgency Scorecard RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/blog/2013/10/weighing-afghanistan-in-2013-against-the-counterinsurgency.html 2013-10-21T18:45:00Z 2013-10-21T18:45:00Z Early 2013 Afghanistan ranks among the historical counterinsurgency winners, but its score is equal to those of the lowest-scoring historical wins. This tenuous position points to several areas in need of improvement. ExpertLens: An Online Approach to Stakeholder Engagement and Expert Elicitation RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/pubs/tools/expertlens.html 2013-10-18T14:45:00Z 2013-10-18T14:45:00Z When making complex decisions, researchers and policymakers often seek the input of many stakeholders and individuals with varied perspectives. ExpertLens is an online application developed by research and programming experts at the RAND Corporation to help achieve these goals easily and cost effectively. A Conceptual Framework and Protocol for Defining Clinical Decision Support Objectives Applicable to Medical Specialties Justin W. Timbie; Cheryl L. Damberg; Eric C. Schneider; Douglas S. Bell https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP51273.html 2012-09-01T10:26:00Z 2012-09-01T10:26:00Z This article describes a conceptual framework and protocol that combines evidence review with expert opinion, using a modified Delphi expert panel process, to elicit clinically meaningful objectives for clinical decision support directly from specialists. New RAND Research System Gathers, Analyzes Expert Opinions Siddhartha Dalal; Dmitry Khodyakov; Ramesh Srinivasan; Susan G. Straus; John L. Adams https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20110096.html 2011-06-14T12:23:00Z 2011-06-14T12:23:00Z Researchers have developed a new method of eliciting and analyzing opinions from a large group of experts and laypeople to aid complex decisionmaking, adapting online and social media technologies to lower the cost of such activities while expanding the types of people who can be queried. New RAND Research System Gathers, Analyzes Expert Opinions RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/news/press/2011/06/14.html 2011-06-14T12:19:00Z 2011-06-14T12:19:00Z Researchers have developed a new method of eliciting and analyzing opinions from a large group of experts and laypeople to aid complex decisionmaking, adapting online and social media technologies to lower the cost of such activities while expanding the types of people who can be queried.