Intelligence Analysis

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Intelligence analysis is the process by which the information collected about an enemy is used to answer tactical questions about current operations or to predict future behavior. RAND has helped the U.S. intelligence community streamline its processes and aided military analysts collecting and processing information on the battlefield.

  • Illustration of a brain with pathways and nodes, images by lyas Toker/Getty Images and Volha Ramanchuk/Getty Images/iStock

    Report

    Artificial Intelligence Systems in Intelligence Analysis

    Aug 26, 2021

    The U.S. military and intelligence community have shown interest in using artificial intelligence systems to support intelligence analysis. But deploying AI systems in a national security context requires the ability to measure how well they will perform in the context of their mission.

  • An MQ-9 Reaper sits on the flightline at Creech Air Force Base, Nev. June 19. Gen. John D.W. Corley, Air Combat Command commander, met with Army Gen. William S. Wallace, Army Training and Doctrine Command commanding general, June 30 to discuss a new concept of operations that would maximize the contributions unmanned aerial systems bring to the joint warfighter, photo by Lance Cheung/U.S. Air Force

    Report

    Technology Innovation and the Future of Air Force Intelligence Analysis: Findings and Recommendations

    Jan 27, 2021

    Getting the right intelligence to the right people at the right time is increasingly difficult as the amount of data grows and timelines shrink. How can tools and technologies help the Air Force Distributed Common Ground System evolve to meet the challenges of synthesizing data effectively and efficiently?

Explore Intelligence Analysis

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    Intelligence -- a Funhouse of Reflections

    Published commentary by RAND staff.

    Feb 15, 2004

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    Why We Didn't Get the Picture

    Published commentary by RAND staff.

    Feb 1, 2004

  • Report

    Report

    Exploring Information Superiority: A Methodology for Measuring the Quality of Information and Its Impact on Shared Awareness

    The authors develop a mathematical framework for assessing the quality of information used to support decision making at various stages in the processing cycle.

    Jan 1, 2004

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    Connect the Cops to Connect the Dots

    commentaries by RAND Staff: insightful commentaries on current events, published in newspapers, magazines and journals worldwide.

    Jun 1, 2003

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    The Big Difference Between Intelligence and Evidence

    Usually intelligence does not offer crystal-clear answers, and we should not hang decisions to go to war or do anything else on its ability to do so, writes Bruce Berkowitz in a Washington Post commentary.

    Feb 2, 2003

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    Face Terror with Better Spying, Not Moats of Fear

    Published commentary by RAND staff.

    Jul 10, 2002

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    Intelligence in the Information Age; Spy Data For Sale

    Published commentary by RAND staff.

    Apr 8, 2001

  • Commentary

    Commentary

    Terrorism — A Policy Behind the Times

    A prerequisite to ensuring that U.S. resources are focused where they can have the most effect is a sober and empirical understanding of the terrorist threat, coupled with comprehensive and coherent strategy.

    Nov 12, 2000

  • Report

    Report

    Anticipating Ethnic Conflict

    This report provides a practical tool -- a guidebook and a methodology to follow -- to help intelligence analysts determine the long-term potential for communitarian and ethnic conflict.

    Jan 1, 1997

  • Report

    Report

    Methodological Considerations in Using Simulation to Assess the Combat Value of Intelligence and Electronic Warfare

    ... technical challenges that must be addressed to support the analysis of the combat value of intelligence and electronic warfare/target acquisition (IEW/TA) with simulation models. This Note describes these challenges and considers ways to meet them.

    Jan 1, 1991

  • Report

    Report

    Damage Variation for Multiple Attacks on a Nonuniform Target System.

    An analysis of the problem of the effectiveness of weapons, not necessarily nuclear, against a nonuniform target system where there is both shot-to-shot and target-to-target variation. In 1968 the widely held Defense Intelligence Agency method for m...

    Jan 1, 1969

  • People

    People

    Raphael S. Cohen

    Director, Strategy and Doctrine Program, RAND Project AIR FORCE; Senior Political Scientist
    Education Ph.D. in government, Georgetown University; M.A. in security studies, Georgetown University; B.A. in government, Harvard University

  • People

    People

    Mark Cozad

    Acting Associate Director, International Security and Defense Policy Center; Senior International Defense Researcher; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
    Education M.S. in strategic intelligence, Defense Intelligence College; M.S. in history, George Mason University; B.S. in political science, U.S. Air Force Academy

  • People

    People

    Christopher A. Eusebi

    Senior Adjunct Researcher
    Education J.D. in intellectual property, University of Detroit; M.S. and M.S. in materials engineering, Michigan State University

  • People

    People

    Richard S. Girven

    Senior International/Defense Research Analyst
    Education M.A. in Asian Studies, University of Hawaii at Manoa; M.M.A.S. in strategic studies, U.S. Army Command And General Staff College; M.S. in national resource strategy, Industrial College of the Armed Forces; B.S. in business management, Park College

  • People

    People

    Dahlia Anne Goldfeld

    Information Scientist
    Education Ph.D. in chemical physics, Columbia University; M.A. in chemistry, Harvard University; B.A. in chemistry, Columbia University

  • People

    People

    Derek Grossman

    Senior Defense Analyst
    Education B.A. in Political Science and Asian Studies, University of Michigan; M.A. in U.S. National Security Policy, Georgetown University

  • People

    People

    Timothy R. Heath

    Senior International/Defense Researcher
    Education Ph.D. in political science, George Mason University; M.A. in Asian Studies, George Washington University; B.A. in philosophy, College of William and Mary

  • People

    People

    Myron Hura

    Senior Engineer
    Education Ph.D. in environmental science and engineering, University of California, Los Angeles; M.S. in engineering, University of California, Los Angeles; B.S., U.S. Naval Academy

  • People

    People

    Anthony Jacques

    Ph.D. Student, Pardee RAND Graduate School, and Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND
    Education B.S. in foreign area studies, United States Air Force Academy