Low-Intensity Conflict

  • U.S. soldiers on COIN operation in Iraq


    Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency

    Approaches to counterinsurgency from 30 recent resolved campaigns show that good counterinsurgency practices tend to "run in packs" and that historically, the balance of selected good and ineffective practices perfectly predicts the outcome of a conflict.

    Jun 18, 2010

  • Report

    Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies

    Narratives on the 30 most recent resolved insurgencies, covering the period 1978 to 2008, and data on 76 factors hypothesized to be related to the success of counterinsurgency forces supplement analyses of historical and contemporary insurgencies.

    Jun 18, 2010

  • Report

    The Iraq Effect: The Middle East After the Iraq War

    The 2003 invasion of Iraq and the ensuing conflict in that country fostered the rise of Iranian power in the region, but with more limitations than is commonly acknowledged. It also diminished local confidence in U.S. credibility and created opportunities for China and Russia.

    Feb 22, 2010

  • President Barack Obama meets Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara, April 6, 2009


    U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Era of Global Geopolitical Change

    Turkey plays a critical role in four areas of strategic importance to the United States: the Balkans, Central Asia and the Caucasus, the Middle East, and the Persian Gulf.

    Feb 3, 2010

  • Journal Article

    The Geography of Insurgent Organization and Its Consequences for Civil Wars: Evidence from Liberia and Sierra Leone

    This article investigates the determinants of armed group organization and the downstream effects of organization on civil wars.

    Jan 1, 2008

  • Report

    Organizing, Training, and Equipping the Air Force for Crises and Lesser Conflicts

    Explores where, why, and how operations short of war are stressing the forces, particularly the aerospace forces, and how those stresses upon USAF capabilities might be relieved by changes in Air Force organization, training, and equipment.

    Dec 31, 1994

  • Report

    U.S. Preparation for Future Low-Level Conflict

    Reports a discussion of implications for U.S. security planning of small-scale crises and conflicts, held in October 1976 at RAND.

    Dec 31, 1976

  • Content

    Elizabeth M. Bartels

    Associate Policy Researcher
    Education PhD in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.S. in political science, MIT; B.A. in political science, University of Chicago

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    Damien Baveye

    Assistant Policy Researcher; Ph.D. Candidate, Pardee RAND Graduate School
    Education B.S. in political science, United States Naval Academy

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    Jason H. Campbell

    Policy Researcher
    Education M.A. in international affairs, Catholic University; B.A. in political science, Amherst College

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    Raphael S. Cohen

    Associate Director, Strategy and Doctrine Program, Project Air Force; Senior Political Scientist
    Education Ph.D. in government, Georgetown University; M.A. in security studies, Georgetown University; B.A. in government, Harvard University

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    Daniel Egel

    Education Ph.D. in economics, University of California, Berkeley; B.A. in biology, University of Chicago

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    Trevor Johnston

    Associate Political Scientist
    Education Ph.D. in political science, University of Michigan; B.A. in political science, UCLA

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    Katya Migacheva

    Associate Behavioral and Social Scientist
    Education Ph.D. in social psychology, University of Massachusetts

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    Hilary Reininger

    Assistant Policy Researcher; Ph.D. Candidate, Pardee RAND Graduate School
    Education M.S. in conflict analysis and resolution, George Mason University; B.A. in Middle East studies and Arabic, Brigham Young University

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    Carl Rhodes

    Director, RAND Australia
    Education Ph.D. and M.S. in chemical engineering, California Institute of Technology; B.S. in chemical engineering, Stanford University

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    Eric Robinson

    Research Programmer & Analyst
    Education M.P.P. in public policy, College of William & Mary; B.A. in economics, government, College of William & Mary

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    Linda Robinson

    Senior International/Defense Researcher
    Education B.A. in political science, Swarthmore College

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    Lisa Saum-Manning

    Political Scientist
    Education Ph.D. in political science, University of California, Los Angeles; B.A. in Spanish, Ohio State University

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    James Schear

    Adjunct Senior Political Scientist
    Education B.A. in international studies & political science, American University; M.A. in international relations, Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies; Ph.D. in international relations, London School of Economics and Political Science