RAND Research Topic: Modeling and Simulation 2017-07-19T17:36:49Z Copyright (c) 2017, The RAND Corporation RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/topics/modeling-and-simulation.html Quantifying Cost and Schedule Uncertainty for Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs) Thomas Light; Robert S. Leonard; Julia Pollak; Meagan Smith; Akilah Wallace https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1723.html Jul 17, 2017 Jul 17, 2017 To help the Air Force better anticipate cost and schedule challenges and manage programs, this study developed a methodology to evaluate the likelihood of cost growth and schedule slip for major defense acquisition projects (MDAPs). British Public Reject “No Deal” on Brexit RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/news/press/2017/07/14.html Jul 14, 2017 Jul 14, 2017 The British people disagree with the claim that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain” when it comes to negotiations for leaving the EU. They want a deal on Brexit and are willing to compromise to get one. British Public Rejects “No Deal” on Brexit Charlene Rohr; Alexandra Pollitt; David Howarth; Hui Lu; Jonathan Grant https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67215.html Jul 13, 2017 Jul 13, 2017 The British people disagree with the claim that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain” when it comes to negotiations for leaving the European Union. They want a deal on Brexit and are willing to compromise to get one. What sort of Brexit do the British people want? Charlene Rohr; Alexandra Pollitt; David Howarth; Hui Lu; Jonathan Grant https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2126.html Jul 13, 2017 Jul 13, 2017 A proof-of-concept study using stated preference discrete choice experiments to quantify the British people's preferences for their relationship with the European Union after Brexit. Predictions Put Into Practice Jessica Saunders; Priscillia Hunt; John S. Hollywood https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67204.html Jul 6, 2017 Jul 6, 2017 In order to better understand the effects of an individual-focused predictive policing program in the field, this study analyzes a pilot program implemented in Chicago in 2013 aimed at reducing gun violence.  A Framework for Synthetic Control Methods With High-Dimensional, Micro-Level Data Michael Robbins; Jessica Saunders; Beau Kilmer https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67206.html Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2017 Our study illustrates the advantages of using high-dimensional, micro-level data in the context of synthetic control methods. Gaming Solutions to Global Problems RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/multimedia/audio/2017/06/08/gaming-solutions-to-global-problems.html Jun 8, 2017 Jun 8, 2017 In this Call with the Experts, RAND senior international research analyst, David Shlapak, talks about how serious games can help find solutions to global problems. Serious Analytical Gaming Ryan Henry; Steven Berner; David A. Shlapak https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1764.html May 30, 2017 May 30, 2017 This report is intended to help decisionmakers who would like to design and run a 360° Game, which can be used in multidimensional analysis of complex problems and allows participants to investigate a problem from a variety of perspectives. News Release for RAND Report on U.S. Child Welfare Reforms RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/news/press/2017/05/23.html May 23, 2017 May 23, 2017 The report on the U.S. child welfare system described in RAND's May 23, 2017 news release has been withdrawn pending further review. Propensity Scores for Multiple Treatments Matthew Cefalu; Maya Buenaventura https://www.rand.org/pubs/tools/TL170z1.html May 5, 2017 May 5, 2017 This tutorial explains the syntax and features related to the implementation of the MNPS commands in the Stata TWANG series. Introduction to Medical Care Statistical Workshops for Health Services Research Claude Messan Setodji; Jeroan J. Allison https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67123.html May 4, 2017 May 4, 2017 This is the introduction to a new series of statistical workshops that are practical and state of the art. User's Guide for the Total Force Blue-Line (TFBL) Model Tara L. Terry; James H. Bigelow; James Pita; Jerry Sollinger; Paul Emslie https://www.rand.org/pubs/tools/TL233.html Apr 21, 2017 Apr 21, 2017 This user's guide contains detailed instructions for running the Total Force Blue-Line model, including steps to follow, the inputs to use, how the inputs can be generated, and a list of steps for generating red-line/blue-line charts. Dominating Duffer's Domain Christopher Paul; William Marcellino https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1166-1.html Apr 20, 2017 Apr 20, 2017 To support the U.S. Marine Corps and its curriculum for information operations personnel, RAND has adapted the premise of the military classic The Defence of Duffer's Drift for a modern-day audience of Marine Corps officers. Dominating Duffer's Domain Christopher Paul; William Marcellino https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1166z1.html Apr 20, 2017 Apr 20, 2017 Adapting the format of military classic, The Defence of Duffer's Drift, this report analyzes alternative courses of action in the same hypothetical mission in order to derive lessons about integrating information operations into operational planning. The Serious Role of Gaming at RAND RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/multimedia/audio/2017/03/23/the-serious-role-of-gaming-at-RAND.html Mar 23, 2017 Mar 23, 2017 RAND uses gaming techniques to develop insights into a host of 21st century challenges. In this Events @ RAND podcast, David Shlapak, codirector of the RAND Center for Gaming, discusses the strengths, weaknesses, and limitations of using gaming in research. The Serious Role of Gaming at RAND RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/events/2017/03/23.html Mar 23, 2017 Mar 23, 2017 RAND uses gaming techniques to develop insights into a host of 21st century challenges. Join David Shlapak, codirector of the RAND Center for Gaming, to discuss the strengths, weaknesses, and limitations of using gaming in research. [Pittsburgh, PA] Evaluating Surrogate Marker Information Using Censored Data Layla Parast; Tianxi Cai; Lu Tian https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67046.html Mar 14, 2017 Mar 14, 2017 Given the long follow-up periods that are often required for treatment or intervention studies, the potential to use surrogate markers to decrease the required follow-up time is a very attractive goal. However, previous studies have shown that using inadequate markers or making inappropriate assumptions about the relationship between the primary outcome and surrogate marker can lead to inaccurate conclusions regarding the treatment effect. Demographic, Social, Economic, and Housing Characteristics Christine E. Peterson; Margaret Weden; Regina A. Shih https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1741.html Jan 3, 2017 Jan 3, 2017 This report describes a contextual database of demographic, social, economic, housing, cultural, and urbanization measures for U.S. census tracts, counties, and metropolitan statistical areas for use in research. Thomas Schelling, Nobel Laureate and Longtime RAND Consultant, Dies at 95 RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/news/press/2016/12/14.html Dec 14, 2016 Dec 14, 2016 Thomas Schelling, a Nobel Prize-winning economist and longtime RAND consultant whose ideas about conflict and cooperation helped guide American policymakers during the Cold War and beyond, has died. RAND Defense Expert to Brief U.S. Helsinki Commission About Ensuring the Security of the Baltic States RAND Corporation https://www.rand.org/news/advisories/2016/12/06.html Dec 6, 2016 Dec 6, 2016 Michael Johnson will present the results of his wargaming research. Magnus Nordenman and Karl Altau will also take part.