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Taiwan became the primary stronghold of the Republic of China following the Communist party's rise in mainland China in 1949. RAND has analyzed shifts in U.S. diplomatic and military policy toward Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) over the decades and, in recent years, has examined Taiwan's rapid economic development, gradual political liberalization, and efforts to achieve independence from the PRC.

Report
Implications of a Coercive Quarantine of Taiwan by China
It's possible that China could enact a quarantine of Taiwan, preventing it from sending exports or receiving imports. Quarantine exploits Taiwan's economic vulnerability but also has consequences for the United States and other allies. How might they respond?
May 23, 2022
Commentary
Ukraine War Is Motivating Taiwan to Better Secure Its Own Future
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is probably motivating Taiwan to better secure its own future versus China. But many of the challenges currently facing Taiwan, such as shortcomings in reservist training or lingering confusion over its military strategy, are difficult to fix, assuming they are even fixable.
May 13, 2022

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Research Brief
Chinese Attacks on U.S. Air Bases in Asia: An Assessment of Relative Capabilities
China has the most active ballistic-missile program in the world. It has made rapid and substantial relative improvements in its ability to disrupt or degrade U.S. air operations by attacking air bases.
Sep 14, 2015
Research Brief
Chinese Threats to U.S. Surface Ships
China has rapidly improved its ability to reliably locate and attack U.S. carrier-strike groups at distances of up to 2,000 kilometers from its coast in a possible military conflict.
Sep 14, 2015
Research Brief
Tallying the U.S.-China Military Scorecard
A set of “scorecards” assesses the relative capabilities of U.S. and Chinese military forces in diverse types of conflict, at varying distances from the Chinese mainland, and at different points in time.
Sep 14, 2015
Research Brief
U.S. and Chinese Air Superiority Capabilities
The United States maintains unparalleled air-to-air capabilities. But the modernization of Chinese air forces, combined with the difficulties of operating over long distances in Asia, would make it more and more challenging for the United States to gain air superiority during the beginning of a possible conflict with China.
Sep 14, 2015
Report
China's Military Modernization Increasingly Challenges U.S. Defense Capabilities in Asia
Although China continues to lag behind the United States in terms of aggregate military hardware and operational skills, it has improved its capabilities relative to those of the U.S. in many critical areas. Moreover, China does not need to catch up fully in order to challenge U.S. ability to conduct effective military operations near the Chinese mainland.
Sep 14, 2015
Commentary
Aging in Asia: Can the 'Tigers' Continue to Roar?
Changing demographics will force Japan and the “Asian Tigers”—Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan—to find ways to remain economically dynamic while increasingly looking after their elderly. How might public policy help accomplish this?
Jun 16, 2015
Journal Article
Examining Physical Function and Mortality of Aging Taiwanese
The Survey of Health and Living Status of the Middle-Aged and Elderly in Taiwan measured difficulty with one or more of seven physical functions. A group-based trajectory model identified common trajectories.
Mar 1, 2014
Journal Article
China and Taiwan: Balance of Rivalry with Weapons of Mass Democratization
An analysis exposes fragility in Beijing's soft power—the limitations of the Chinese Communist Party's political legitimacy and vulnerabilities in China's rise. The example that illustrates a real Achilles's heel hits close to home: the issue of Taiwan.
Jan 1, 2014
Journal Article
Trends in Late-Life Disability in Taiwan, 1989-2007: The Roles of Education, Environment, and Technology
This study assessing trends in late-life disability in the emerging economy of Taiwan showed that limitations in seeing, hearing, and instrumental activities of daily living declined.
Nov 1, 2011
Report
New Opportunities and Challenges for Taiwan's Security
A November 2009 conference brought together leading experts to consider how political, economic, and military factors are likely to shape Taiwan's security in the coming decade. The papers represented a range of viewpoints and analyses.
Mar 30, 2011
Journal Article
The Impact of Universal National Health Insurance on Population Health in Taiwan
A study of Taiwan's system of universal National Health Insurance (NHI) found its introduction was associated in a reduction in deaths considered amenable to health care, particularly among those age groups least likely to have been insured previously.
Aug 4, 2010
Report
A Question of Balance: Political Context and Military Aspects of the China-Taiwan Dispute
While relations between China and Taiwan are warmer now than in recent years, China still feels entitled to use force to prevent Taiwan from becoming independent. Meanwhile, the modernizing of China's military may call into question the U.S.' ability to defend Taiwan against a large-scale Chinese attack.
Jul 23, 2009
Research Brief
How Taiwan's Status Is Resolved Will Determine Whether U.S.-China Relations Are Cooperative or Hostile
This research brief examines how U.S.-China relations would be affected by the manner in which Taiwan's status is resolved.
May 22, 2007
Report
What Are the Impacts of Resolving Taiwan's Status?
Depending on how Taiwan's status is resolved, U.S.-China relations could range from friendly cooperation to cold war. As China's military capabilities grow, it will be increasingly important for the US. to both prevent an attempt at violent reunification and maintain the capability to defeat it.
May 12, 2007
News Release
China Could Potentially Defeat U.S. in Conflict Over Taiwan By Limiting Military Access, RAND Study Finds
March 29, 2007 news release: China Could Potentially Defeat U.S. in Conflict Over Taiwan By Limiting Military Access, RAND Study Finds.
Mar 29, 2007
News Release
RAND Study Says China's Attempts at Economic Coercion of Taiwan Have Only Limited Success
February 15, 2007 News Release: RAND Study Says China's Attempts at Economic Coercion of Taiwan Have Only Limited Success.
Feb 15, 2007
Report
Chinese Economic Coercion Against Taiwan: A Tricky Weapon to Use
Analyzes the political impact of the rapidly growing economic relationship between mainland China and Taiwan and evaluates the prospects of Beijing exploiting the relationship by employing economic coercion against Taiwan.
Jan 16, 2007
Commentary
Roiling the Waters in the Taiwan Strait
Published commentary by RAND staff: Roiling the Waters in the Taiwan Strait, in International Herald Tribune.
Mar 21, 2006
Report
Shanghaied? The Economic and Political Implications of the Flow of Information Technology and Investment Across the Taiwan Strait
Analyzes the dynamics of the transfer of technology and capital between Taiwan and China and assesses their impact on cross-Strait relations and the worldwide semiconductor industry.
Dec 13, 2004
Commentary
Taiwan Risks Getting In Over Its Head
Published commentary by RAND staff.
Apr 24, 2001

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