Taiwan

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Taiwan became the primary stronghold of the Republic of China following the Communist party's rise in mainland China in 1949. RAND has analyzed shifts in U.S. diplomatic and military policy toward Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) over the decades and, in recent years, has examined Taiwan's rapid economic development, gradual political liberalization, and efforts to achieve independence from the PRC.

  • Production line at Eminent Luggage Corp. in Taiwan and a <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ym_People_at_Keelung.jpg">ship at Keelung</a>, Taiwan, photos by Pichi Chuang/Reuters and pete/<a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/deed.en">CC by 2.0</a>

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    Implications of a Coercive Quarantine of Taiwan by China

    It's possible that China could enact a quarantine of Taiwan, preventing it from sending exports or receiving imports. Quarantine exploits Taiwan's economic vulnerability but also has consequences for the United States and other allies. How might they respond?

    May 23, 2022

  • Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen visits army reservist troops during training in Nanshipu, Taiwan, March 12, 2022, photo by Ann Wang/Reuters

    Commentary

    Ukraine War Is Motivating Taiwan to Better Secure Its Own Future

    Russia's invasion of Ukraine is probably motivating Taiwan to better secure its own future versus China. But many of the challenges currently facing Taiwan, such as shortcomings in reservist training or lingering confusion over its military strategy, are difficult to fix, assuming they are even fixable.

    May 13, 2022

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    Economic development and the "old" international order

    Addresses the issue of the remarkable record of a small number of less-developed countries (the so-called Newly Industrialized Countries--especially Korea, Brazil, Taiwan, and Singapore) in realizing sustained economic development in the past decade....

    Jan 1, 1980

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    The People's Republic of China in a proliferated world

    Assesses the probabilities that Japan, Taiwan or South Korea might develop nuclear weapons, and what the consequences of proliferation might be for the People's Republic of China (PRC). The possibility that any of these states might embark on a nucle...

    Jan 1, 1979

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    China policy and America's public debate: ten arguments in search of normalized U.S.-PRC relations

    As of 1978, leaders in Washington and Peking face the choice of either moving toward future cooperation and defusing the dispute over Taiwan by political means, or through inaction dissipating the policy of normalizing relations which was initiated i...

    Jan 1, 1977

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    The Political Environment on Taiwan.

    An examination of the political framework within which foreign businessmen must operate on Taiwan. Divided into three parts, the paper discusses: (1) Relevant aspects of Chinese political heritage and its importance in understanding the role of gov...

    Jan 1, 1975

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    Taiwan's Fate: Two Chinas But Not Forever

    A December 1973 Columbia University seminar paper, reissued without revision, describing the deliberately ambiguous de facto independence of Taiwan.

    Jan 1, 1975

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    Effectiveness Evaluation of Family Planning: Case Study Taiwan.

    This paper reviews several methods of evaluating family planning programs and comments on the strengths and shortcomings of each. Evidence from Taiwan is summarized that indicates how different methods of evaluation can yield different implications ...

    Jan 1, 1972

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    The Effectiveness of Population Policies: Alternative Methods of Statistical Inference.

    An evaluation of methods used to infer how activities of a family-planning program influence birth rates. Using data from Taiwan, two models, a simultaneous-equations model and an age-aggregated linear-recursive model, are estimated by means of vari...

    Jan 1, 1971

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    A Framework for Analysis and Its Application to Taiwan's Family Planning Program.

    Based on multiple regression models of reproductive behavior, direct assessment of the impact of the Taiwan family planning program on birth rates is shown to imply different conclusions for policy than those implied by earlier studies focusing on th...

    Jan 1, 1971

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    Effectiveness of Family Planning in Taiwan : A Methodology for Program Evaluation.

    This paper proposes a method for answering the question: For a given level of effort, which of the many alternative family planning programs appears preferable? The approach here is to develop a predictive model of human fertility, from which one m...

    Jan 1, 1969

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    The Effectiveness of Family Planning in Taiwan : A Proposal for a New Evaluation Methodology.

    A new approach to evaluating the effectiveness of family planning programs in reducing birth rates. A predictive model incorporates demographic and economic statistics to analyze the relationships between birth rate and various environmental determi...

    Jan 1, 1969

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    Problems and Prospects of United States Policy in Southeast Asia

    A survey of U.S. security interests in Southeast Asia over the next decade.

    Jan 1, 1969

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    Asian Futures

    The text of an interview for Japan's [The] [Kokubo], predicting some effects from President Johnson's announcements of the bombing cessation and his withdrawal from the presidential race: (1) reduced political schism in the United States; ...

    Jan 1, 1968

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    Recent Developments on Taiwan.

    Political, economic, social, and international developments in Nationalist China during 1965 and 1966. Preoccupation with return to the Mainland continues, accompanied by frustration with the U.S. attitude toward Nationalist Chinese plans. Seeking ...

    Jan 1, 1967

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    Taiwan : Looking to the Mainland.

    A survey of Nationalist China's current attitudes toward the recovery of the Chinese Mainland. The Nationalist Chinese government apparently sees the possibility of a dramatic change in leadership in Peking that could evolve into a breakup of centra...

    Jan 1, 1967

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    Taiwan in 1966.

    A review of Taiwan's domestic politics and international relations during 1966. The political implications of the fourth general election, developments in the economy, and Taiwan's relations with its Asian neighbors are discussed. 13 pp....

    Jan 1, 1966

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    China's Relations with Asian Neighbors

    A review of China's 1964 attitudes toward her Asian neighbors.

    Jan 1, 1964

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