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Terrorism Risk Management

Commentary
A Year After Osama bin Laden's Death, Obituaries for al Qaeda Are Still Way Too Premature
Predictions of al Qaeda's imminent demise are rooted more in wishful thinking and politicians' desire for applause lines than in rigorous analysis, writes Seth G. Jones.
Apr 24, 2012
News Release
Al Qaeda's Efforts to Recruit Homegrown Jihadists in America Remain Largely Ineffective
Despite al Qaeda's increasing use of the Internet to attempt to radicalize and recruit homegrown terrorists in the United States, the turnout has been tiny and mostly inept.
Aug 31, 2011
Report
Al Qaeda's Efforts to Recruit Homegrown Jihadists in America Remain Largely Ineffective
Despite al Qaeda's increasing use of the Internet to attempt to radicalize and recruit homegrown terrorists in the United States, the turnout has been tiny and mostly inept.
Aug 31, 2011
News Release
RAND Book Provides Critical Review of U.S. Actions Since 9/11; Recommends Future Anti-Terror Path
A new collection of essays by experts from the RAND Corporation examines America in the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, focusing a critical eye on the nation's actions since the attacks and outlining changes in strategy needed to improve efforts against jihadist groups.
Jul 26, 2011
Report
RAND Book Provides Critical Review of U.S. Actions Since 9/11; Recommends Future Anti-Terror Path
A new collection of essays by experts from the RAND Corporation examines America in the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, focusing a critical eye on the nation's actions since the attacks and outlining changes in strategy needed to improve efforts against jihadist groups.
Jul 26, 2011
Report
Can Individuals' Patterns of Behavior Predict Violent Jihadist Actions?
An analysis of the pre-attack behaviors of the most significant Jihadist terrorist groups in the UK found that there are certain distinctive behavioral characteristics displayed as a result of planning, preparing, and implementing an act of terrorism, but more research will be needed to identify
Jul 12, 2011
Report
Counterinsurgency in Pakistan
The rising number of terrorist plots in the United States with links to Pakistan—most recently the failed car-bombing in New York City—is partly a result of an unsuccessful strategy by Pakistan and the U.S. to weaken the range of militant groups operating in Pakistan.
Jun 2, 2010
Report
Security, At What Cost? Quantifying People's Trade-Offs
To help policymakers understand the privacy, liberty, and security trade-offs individuals are willing to make, RAND Europe examined three real-life case studies where these factors come into play: applying for a passport, traveling on the national rail network, and attending a major public event.
Jan 8, 2010
Report
Understanding the Role of Deterrence in Counterterrorism Security
Deterrence is a critical feature of cost-effective counterterrorism efforts, but it is not well understood or measured. This simple framework for evaluating the relative value of deterrent measures draws on a growing literature on the role of deterrence in counterterrorism strategy and terrorist decisionmaking.
Nov 30, 2009
Brochure
DHS Course Brochure
This brochure describes ''Policy Analysis Techniques for Homeland Security Professionals'', a five-day course hosted by RAND to be held in Arlington, VA on November 16-20, 2009.
May 26, 2009
Report
Organized Crime Is Increasingly Active in Film Piracy; Three Cases Link Terrorists to Piracy Profits
Organized crime increasingly is involved in the piracy of feature films, with syndicates active along the entire supply chain from manufacture to street sales. While crime syndicates have added piracy to their criminal portfolios, the profits from film piracy also have been used on occasion to support the activities of terrorist groups.
Jan 14, 2009
Report
A Strategic Planning Approach: Defining Alternative Counterterrorism Strategies as an Illustration
This paper defines an approach to strategic planning and illustrates its application using the example of the critical national security topic of counterterrorism.
Jan 1, 2009
Research Brief
Consequence Prevention: A New Model for Addressing Uncertainty About Terrorist Threats
To help policymakers deal with the uncertainty surrounding the nature of future terrorist threats, traditional terrorism prevention measures should be integrated into a portfolio that also includes measures that mitigate an attack's consequences.
Dec 7, 2008
Journal Article
Using Probabilistic Terrorism Risk Modeling for Regulatory Benefit-Cost Analysis: Application to the Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative Implemented in the Land Environment
This article presents a framework for using probabilistic terrorism risk modeling in regulatory analysis.ment, (WHTI-L).
Jan 1, 2008
Report
Victims of Terrorism Have Significant Influence on Policy and Legislation
Since September 11, 2001, organized groups of families and friends have emerged to become a powerful voice in U.S. counterterrorist policy and legislation. These groups have been successful in establishing the 9/11 Commission and implementing its most important recommendations.
Nov 12, 2007
Report
Taxpayers, Policyholders Benefit from Terrorism Risk Insurance Program
Taxpayers save money and businesses are better protected with the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) in place than if the act is allowed to expire. TRIA allows the insurance industry to play a larger role in compensating losses caused by smaller terrorist attacks by transferring some of the risk for the largest attack to the government.
Sep 25, 2007
Journal Article
How Does Terrorism Risk Vary Across Space and Time? An Analysis Based on the Israeli Experience
The authors study the spatial and temporal determinants of terrorism risk in Israel, using a geocoded database of Israeli terrorist attacks from 1949 to 2004.
Jan 1, 2007
Journal Article
Guiding Resource Allocations Based on Terrorism Risk
After briefly reviewing definitions of terrorism risk and rationales for risk-based resource allocation, this article compares estimates of terrorism risk in urban areas that received Urban Area Security Initiative (UASI) funding in 2004 to other federal risk management decisions.
Jan 1, 2007
Report
Identifying Ways Shopping Centers Can Sharply Reduce Terrorism Risk
A high-priority set of six to 10 security measures can cut terrorism risk to just one-fifteenth the level it would otherwise be at enclosed shopping centers. Measures include: public information campaigns encouraging people to report suspicious packages; searching kiosks for bombs and weapons; and more.
Dec 6, 2006
Report
National Security and Private-Sector Risk Management for Terrorism
High take-up rates for terrorism insurance or other forms of compensation for terrorism losses can enhance economic resilience after an attack and encourage national cohesion and post-event solidarity.
Oct 11, 2006

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RAND Topic:
Terrorism Risk Management

Topic Synonyms:
Terrorism Risk Management Policy

Research conducted by

Researcher Spotlight

Aaron C. Davenport

Associate Director, Infrastructure, Immigration, and Security Operations Program, RAND Homeland Security Research Division

Aaron C. Davenport is an associate director of the Infrastructure, Immigration, and Security Operations (IISO) Program, part of the RAND Homeland Security Research Division (HSRD), and a senior policy researcher. HSRD oversees the Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center (HSOAC), a…
D. Sean Barnett

Senior Engineer

Sean Barnett is a senior engineer at the RAND Corporation. He is a defense analyst, nuclear engineer, and attorney, with 30 years of experience leading research in the fields of national security, energy, and law. At RAND, most of his work has involved military operational assessments and…

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