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Publications on Climate Resilience

Browse RAND publications on climate resilience on these pages.

2019

Developing a Robust Water Strategy for Monterrey, Mexico: Diversification and Adaptation for Coping with Climate, Economic, and Technological Uncertainties August 9, 2019

Edmundo Molina-Perez, David G. Groves, Steven W. Popper, Aldo I. Ramirez, Rodrigo Crespo-Elizondo
Mexico's third-largest metropolitan area, Monterrey, faces future water security challenges as the region grows. Tecnológico de Monterrey and RAND Corporation researchers used RAND's Robust Decision Making (RDM) framework to organize an analysis of long-term trends and vulnerabilities in water management in Monterrey and to help design a long-term water strategy.
Developing a Robust Water Strategy for Monterrey, Mexico: Diversification and Adaptation for Coping with Climate, Economic, and Technological Uncertainties — Planning Support Tool August 9, 2019

David G. Groves, Edmundo Molina-Perez
This interactive tool allows users to explore data and analysis developed by the RAND Corporation and Tecnológico de Monterrey in support of Fondo de Agua Metropolitano de Monterrey's Monterrey Water Plan for 2050.
Climate Vulnerability Mapping: A Systematic Review and Future Prospects August 6, 2019

Alex de Sherbinin, Anamaria Bukvic, Guillaume Rohat, Melanie Gall, Brent McCusker, Benjamin Lee Preston, Alex Apotsos, Carolyn Fish, Stefan Kienberger, Park Muhonda, et al.
This paper presents the results of a systematic review of 84 studies that map social vulnerability to climate impacts in order to identify common approaches to mapping, evaluate their strengths and limitations, and offer recommendations and future directions for the field.
Building Clean Energy Support with Young Millennials in the United States July 3, 2019

Christopher A. Craig, Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers
This study analyzes awareness of local clean energy initiatives, risk perceptions, environmental messaging, and environmental orientation influence young millennial support for federal clean energy policy and taxes.
Advancing STEM-Based Business Sustainability: Mending the Curricular Gap July 3, 2019

Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers, Christopher A. Craig, Susan J. Gilbertz, Song Feng, Rita Karam, Angelena Bohman
Businesses are increasingly facing economic, social, and environmental sustainability challenges. This article discusses STEM-based business sustainability curricula to help educators prepare students.
The Impact of Climate and Weather on a Small Tourism Business: A wSWOT Case Study July 3, 2019

Christopher A. Craig, Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers, Song Feng, Brent H. Kinghorn
This teaching case explores the impact of climatic trends and weather on one location of an outdoor tourism industry business in the coastal community of Virginia Beach, Virginia.
A Case Study of Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events, and Risk Communication in a Coastal Community July 3, 2019

Christopher A. Craig, Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers, Song Feng
A longitudinal case study with a single location design was used to explore the relationships between climate change, extreme events, and economic outcomes for a coastal business located in the southeastern U.S.
Ensemble-Based Flood Vulnerability Assessment for Probable Maximum Flood in a Changing Environment June 28, 2019

Sudershan Gangrade, Shih-Chieh Kao, Tigstu T. Dullo, Alfred J. Kalyanapu, Benjamin Lee Preston
A high-resolution hydro-meteorologic model was used to develop probabilistic flood maps representing the response of indices of rainfall extremes, probable maximum precipitation (PMP) and probable maximum flood (PMF), to climate change.
Community Citizen Science: From Promise to Action June 18, 2019

Ramya Chari, Marjory S. Blumenthal, Luke J. Matthews
In community citizen science, nonprofessional scientists (volunteers) exert a high degree of control over research, working with professional scientists during the research process and performing research on their own. In this report, the authors describe the nature and potential uses of community citizen science. They address implementation needs and challenges, including pathways to achieve policy and community impacts.
Chesapeake Bay Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook: Spring 2019: Seasonal Precipitation Analysis June 12, 2019

Jordan R. Fischbach, Michelle E. Miro, Krista Romita Grocholski, Art Degaetano, Samantha Borisoff
This web-based tool is part of a quarterly series that draws from a variety of scientific resources to inform Chesapeake Bay Watershed policymakers, practitioners, residents, and community leaders on historical and projected future climate trends. An in-depth analysis of changes in seasonal precipitation events over multiple decades is displayed using interactive figures.
Pathways to 2050: Alternative Scenarios for Decarbonizing the U.S. Economy June 4, 2019

Robert J. Lempert, Benjamin Lee Preston, Jae Edmonds, Leon Clarke, Tom Wild, Matthew Binsted, Elliot Diringer, Brad Townsend
This scenario exercise draws on the insights of more than 20 leading companies to advance understanding of the opportunities and challenges associated with decarbonizing the United States by mid-century in order to reduce the risks of climate change.
Research Handbook on Climate Change Adaptation Policy June 4, 2019

E. Carina Keskitalo, Benjamin Lee Preston
This topical and engaging Research Handbook illustrates the variety of research approaches in the field of climate change adaptation policy in order to provide a guide to its social and institutional complexity.
Shift in Seasonal Climate Patterns Likely to Impact Residential Energy Consumption in the United States June 4, 2019

Deeksha Rastogi, James Scott Holladay, Katherine J. Evans, Benjamin Lee Preston, Moetasim Ashfaq
This paper presents an ensemble of climate simulations and empirical relationships between weather and household energy consumption to provide detailed estimates for potential climate-driven changes in the United States residential energy demand.
Evaluation of Walk and Bicycle Demand Modeling Practice May 16, 2019

Mark Bradley, Charlene Rohr, James Fox, Julian Glenesk
An evaluation of the current state of research and practice in regional pedestrian and bicycle demand modelling for both commute and noncommute trips. The results of the study were connected to planning needs and practice.
Preparing for Future Droughts in Lima, Peru: Enhancing Lima's Drought Management Plan to Meet Future Challenges May 14, 2019

David G. Groves, Laura Bonzanigo, James Syme, Nathan Lee Engle, Ivan Rodriguez Cabanillas
This study evaluates the performance of Lima, Peru's current drought management plan against future droughts and proposes augmentations, and it recommends ways to ensure that the drought management plan performs will in the uncertain future.
Robust Decision Making (RDM): Application to Water Planning and Climate Policy April 10, 2019

David G. Groves, Edmundo Molina-Perez, Evan Bloom, Jordan R. Fischbach
This chapter presents two case studies that demonstrate how DMDU methods, in particular Robust Decision Making (RDM) (see Chap. 2), can help develop robust long-term strategies.
Robust Decision Making (RDM) April 10, 2019

Robert J. Lempert
Decisionmakers often seek predictions about the future to inform policy choices. But a reliance upon analytic methods that require them can prove counter-productive and sometimes dangerous in a fast-changing, complex world.
Updating the Costs of Compliance for California's Hospital Seismic Safety Standards March 28, 2019

Benjamin Lee Preston, Tom LaTourrette, James R. Broyles, R. J. Briggs, David Catt, Christopher Nelson, Jeanne S. Ringel, Daniel A. Waxman
California Senate Bill 1953 requires structural and nonstructural upgrades to hospital buildings to enhance resilience to seismic events. This report estimates the costs to hospitals of compliance, focusing on the 2030 deadline. The potential costs have raised significant concerns regarding the financial burden on hospital systems and the opportunity costs associated with hospitals investing large pools of capital to implement seismic upgrades.
Chesapeake Bay Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook: Winter 2018-2019: Seasonal Precipitation Analysis March 25, 2019

Jordan R. Fischbach, Michelle E. Miro, Krista Romita Grocholski, Art Degaetano, Samantha Borisoff
This web-based tool is part of a quarterly series that draws from a variety of scientific resources to inform Chesapeake Bay Watershed policymakers, practitioners, residents, and community leaders on historical and projected future climate trends. An in-depth analysis of changes in seasonal precipitation events over multiple decades is displayed using interactive maps.
Decision Support Tool for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Levee Investment Strategy March 7, 2019

David G. Groves
The Delta Stewardship Council commissioned the development of a risk modeling framework and decision support tool (DST) to aid in the formulation of a Delta Levees Investment Strategy.
Decision Support Tool for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Levees Investment Strategy: Documentation and Use March 7, 2019

David G. Groves, Nidhi Kalra, James Syme, Hollie Ellis, Charles L. Gardiner, Lawrence H. Roth
The Delta Stewardship Council commissioned the development of a risk modeling framework and decision support tool (DST) to aid in the formulation of a Delta Levees Investment Strategy for the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta. This report describes the decision support tool and underlying methodology used to evaluate the probability of flooding and various risks in several future scenarios.
RAND Review: March-April 2019 March 4, 2019

This issue explores resilience and adaptation strategies researchers can pursue to address the impacts of climate change; security challenges posed by artificial intelligence and the speed at which technology is transforming society; and more.
Resilience of the Eastern African Electricity Sector to Climate Driven Changes in Hydropower Generation January 29, 2019

Vignesh Sridharan, Oliver Broad, Abhishek Shivakumar, Mark Howells, Brent Boehlert, David G. Groves, H-Holger Rogner, Constantinos Taliotis, James E. Neumann, Kenneth M. Strzepek, et al.
This study developed a framework consisting of long-term models for electricity supply and water systems management, to assess the vulnerability of potential electricity infrastructure expansion plans to the effects of climate change in Africa.
Countering Sectarianism in the Middle East: Lessons from Lebanon, Bahrain, Syria, and Iraq January 14, 2019

Jeffrey Martini, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Becca Wasser, Amanda Rizkallah, Justin Gengler, Kathleen Reedy, Ami Carpenter
This research draws lessons on how to promote resilience to sectarianism and cross-sectarian cooperation through an exploration of four Middle Eastern case studies: Lebanon, Bahrain, Syria, and Iraq.
Countering Sectarianism in the Middle East January 14, 2019

Jeffrey Martini, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Becca Wasser, Amanda Rizkallah, Justin Gengler, Kathleen Reedy, Ami Carpenter
Scholars and policymakers have sought to understand what drives sectarianism in the Middle East and its relationship to multiple conflicts, but far less attention has been focused on the factors that make a community more resilient to sectarianism. This report provides a better understanding of how communities inoculate themselves from sectarianism or recover from it and draws lessons on how to promote resilience and cross-sectarian cooperation.

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