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Publications on Climate Resilience

Browse RAND publications on climate resilience.

2020

Implementing a New Mobility Vision for Rancho Higuera in a Deeply Uncertain, Fast-Changing World: Results from RAND Corporation Participatory Local Planning Workshops January 3, 2020

Robert J. Lempert, Tim McDonald, Steven W. Popper, Diogo Prosdocimi, Thomas A. Small
Culver City, at the crossroads of key transportation corridors in west Los Angeles, seeks to reimagine mobility, shifting from cars to other transit modes. To help realize its Transit Oriented Development (TOD) vision, Culver City partnered with the RAND Corporation to develop an implementation plan for its Rancho Higuera neighborhood using decision making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) methods embedded in a participatory "shadow" process.

2019

Indian Summer: Three Essays on Heatwave Vulnerability, Estimation and Adaptation December 23, 2019

Gulrez Shah Azhar
Explores how future heatwaves in India may vary over time and geography and estimate the impact they might have on mortality.
Chesapeake Bay Watershed Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook: Fall 2019 December 17, 2019

Michelle E. Miro, Krista Romita Grocholski, Samantha Borisoff, Jordan R. Fischbach, Art Degaetano, Pamela H. Braff, Stephanie Tanverakul
This web-based tool is part of a quarterly series that draws from a variety of scientific resources to inform Chesapeake Bay Watershed policymakers, practitioners, residents, and community leaders on historical and projected future climate trends. Hurricane damage in the Mid-Atlantic and changes in hurricane frequency and intensity are shown in interactive figures.
Insights into global food system risks and opportunities and their implications for the FSA November 15, 2019

Elta Smith, Gordon R. McInroy, Pamina Smith, Camilla d'Angelo, Anna Knack, Adam Bertscher
Using horizon scanning, a methodology for gathering information about future trends, RAND Europe identified global food system risks and opportunities, and drew out key implications to 2030 for the UK Food Standards Agency and its Science Council. The study was designed to operate as a test of an approach that the FSA could implement to enable ongoing horizon scanning capabilities in matters affecting food safety and authenticity in the UK.
Technology and climate change: A review of STFC Food Network+ projects and future potential November 6, 2019

Courtney Hood, Darcy Bounsall, Sarah Bridle, Sonal Choudhary, Lisa Emberson, Marcin Glowacz, Martin Hardcastle, Tom Kirkham, Manoj Menon, Rakesh Nayak, et al.
In this Working Paper, the authors review the trends, opportunities, and constraints in the application of emerging technologies to climate-related challenges within the agri-food system. The findings are based on a small sample of projects, but indicate promising avenues for further exploration, as well as potential challenges in the application of technologies developed in one sector to challenges experienced in another.
Flood Damage Reduction Benefits and Costs in Louisiana's 2017 Coastal Master Plan October 23, 2019

Jordan R. Fischbach, David R. Johnson, David G. Groves
This article builds on the modeling analysis conducted for Louisiana's 2017 Coastal Master Plan. We use the Coastal Louisiana Risk Assessment model to project coastal flood damage over time under different scenarios and with the master plan implemented.
Creating a Water Risk Index to Improve Community Resilience October 23, 2019

Kelly Klima, Lobna El Gammal, Weilong Kong, Diogo Prosdocimi
We demonstrate two methods to combine water hazard data with a derived water vulnerability index to characterize water risk. We then compare the costs of two potential government policies: buyout of the home versus funding for foundation elevation.
Transboundary Environmental Stressors on India-Pakistan Relations: An Analysis of Shared Air and Water Resources October 9, 2019

Michelle E. Miro, Miriam Elizabeth Marlier, Richard S. Girven
Discourse by governments, news media, and citizens flows freely over transboundary water resources and air quality between India and Pakistan. In this report, researchers assess the potential capacity of Indian hydroelectric projects along a major tributary of the Indus River to affect downstream flows in Pakistan. The authors also examine the influence of agricultural burning in Pakistan and India's Punjab regions on regional air pollution.
Climate Change and U.S. Security in the Arctic September 19, 2019

Abbie Tingstad
Testimony presented before the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Transportation and Maritime Security on September 19, 2019.
Chesapeake Bay Watershed Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook: Summer 2019 September 18, 2019

Jordan R. Fischbach, Michelle E. Miro, Krista Romita Grocholski, Art Degaetano, Samantha Borisoff
This web-based tool is part of a quarterly series that draws from a variety of scientific resources to inform Chesapeake Bay Watershed policymakers, practitioners, residents, and community leaders on historical and projected future climate trends. An in-depth analysis of changes in extreme heat events over multiple decades is displayed in an interactive figure.
Developing a Robust Water Strategy for Monterrey, Mexico: Diversification and Adaptation for Coping with Climate, Economic, and Technological Uncertainties August 9, 2019

Edmundo Molina-Perez, David G. Groves, Steven W. Popper, Aldo I. Ramirez, Rodrigo Crespo-Elizondo
Mexico's third-largest metropolitan area, Monterrey, faces future water security challenges as the region grows. Tecnológico de Monterrey and RAND Corporation researchers used RAND's Robust Decision Making (RDM) framework to organize an analysis of long-term trends and vulnerabilities in water management in Monterrey and to help design a long-term water strategy.
Developing a Robust Water Strategy for Monterrey, Mexico: Diversification and Adaptation for Coping with Climate, Economic, and Technological Uncertainties — Planning Support Tool August 9, 2019

David G. Groves, Edmundo Molina-Perez
This interactive tool allows users to explore data and analysis developed by the RAND Corporation and Tecnológico de Monterrey in support of Fondo de Agua Metropolitano de Monterrey's Monterrey Water Plan for 2050.
Climate Vulnerability Mapping: A Systematic Review and Future Prospects August 6, 2019

Alex de Sherbinin, Anamaria Bukvic, Guillaume Rohat, Melanie Gall, Brent McCusker, Benjamin Lee Preston, Alex Apotsos, Carolyn Fish, Stefan Kienberger, Park Muhonda, et al.
This paper presents the results of a systematic review of 84 studies that map social vulnerability to climate impacts in order to identify common approaches to mapping, evaluate their strengths and limitations, and offer recommendations and future directions for the field.
Advancing STEM-Based Business Sustainability: Mending the Curricular Gap July 3, 2019

Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers, Christopher A. Craig, Susan J. Gilbertz, Song Feng, Rita Karam, Angelena Bohman
Businesses are increasingly facing economic, social, and environmental sustainability challenges. This article discusses STEM-based business sustainability curricula to help educators prepare students.
The Impact of Climate and Weather on a Small Tourism Business: A wSWOT Case Study July 3, 2019

Christopher A. Craig, Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers, Song Feng, Brent H. Kinghorn
This teaching case explores the impact of climatic trends and weather on one location of an outdoor tourism industry business in the coastal community of Virginia Beach, Virginia.
A Case Study of Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events, and Risk Communication in a Coastal Community July 3, 2019

Christopher A. Craig, Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers, Song Feng
A longitudinal case study with a single location design was used to explore the relationships between climate change, extreme events, and economic outcomes for a coastal business located in the southeastern U.S.
Building Clean Energy Support with Young Millennials in the United States July 3, 2019

Christopher A. Craig, Elizabeth L. Petrun Sayers
This study analyzes awareness of local clean energy initiatives, risk perceptions, environmental messaging, and environmental orientation influence young millennial support for federal clean energy policy and taxes.
Ensemble-Based Flood Vulnerability Assessment for Probable Maximum Flood in a Changing Environment June 28, 2019

Sudershan Gangrade, Shih-Chieh Kao, Tigstu T. Dullo, Alfred J. Kalyanapu, Benjamin Lee Preston
A high-resolution hydro-meteorologic model was used to develop probabilistic flood maps representing the response of indices of rainfall extremes, probable maximum precipitation (PMP) and probable maximum flood (PMF), to climate change.
Community Citizen Science: From Promise to Action June 18, 2019

Ramya Chari, Marjory S. Blumenthal, Luke J. Matthews
In community citizen science, nonprofessional scientists (volunteers) exert a high degree of control over research, working with professional scientists during the research process and performing research on their own. In this report, the authors describe the nature and potential uses of community citizen science. They address implementation needs and challenges, including pathways to achieve policy and community impacts.
Chesapeake Bay Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook: Spring 2019: Seasonal Precipitation Analysis June 12, 2019

Jordan R. Fischbach, Michelle E. Miro, Krista Romita Grocholski, Art Degaetano, Samantha Borisoff
This web-based tool is part of a quarterly series that draws from a variety of scientific resources to inform Chesapeake Bay Watershed policymakers, practitioners, residents, and community leaders on historical and projected future climate trends. An in-depth analysis of changes in seasonal precipitation events over multiple decades is displayed using interactive figures.
Pathways to 2050: Alternative Scenarios for Decarbonizing the U.S. Economy June 4, 2019

Robert J. Lempert, Benjamin Lee Preston, Jae Edmonds, Leon Clarke, Tom Wild, Matthew Binsted, Elliot Diringer, Brad Townsend
This scenario exercise draws on the insights of more than 20 leading companies to advance understanding of the opportunities and challenges associated with decarbonizing the United States by mid-century in order to reduce the risks of climate change.
Research Handbook on Climate Change Adaptation Policy June 4, 2019

E. Carina Keskitalo, Benjamin Lee Preston
This topical and engaging Research Handbook illustrates the variety of research approaches in the field of climate change adaptation policy in order to provide a guide to its social and institutional complexity.
Shift in Seasonal Climate Patterns Likely to Impact Residential Energy Consumption in the United States June 4, 2019

Deeksha Rastogi, James Scott Holladay, Katherine J. Evans, Benjamin Lee Preston, Moetasim Ashfaq
This paper presents an ensemble of climate simulations and empirical relationships between weather and household energy consumption to provide detailed estimates for potential climate-driven changes in the United States residential energy demand.
Evaluation of Walk and Bicycle Demand Modeling Practice May 16, 2019

Mark Bradley, Charlene Rohr, James Fox, Julian Glenesk
An evaluation of the current state of research and practice in regional pedestrian and bicycle demand modelling for both commute and noncommute trips. The results of the study were connected to planning needs and practice.
Preparing for Future Droughts in Lima, Peru: Enhancing Lima's Drought Management Plan to Meet Future Challenges May 14, 2019

David G. Groves, Laura Bonzanigo, James Syme, Nathan Lee Engle, Ivan Rodriguez Cabanillas
This study evaluates the performance of Lima, Peru's current drought management plan against future droughts and proposes augmentations, and it recommends ways to ensure that the drought management plan performs will in the uncertain future.

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