We begin with a brief effort to estimate current expenditures for education and then go on to look at the costs of the technology that was used by the group of schools that were described in Chapter Two. We use those data to make rough estimates of the continuing costs associated with decisions to equip schools and school faculties with equipment and capabilities similar to those in the schools we examined. Naturally, this implies a significant increase in technology-related expenditures over what is currently spent.
Much of the current impetus to bring more technology into schools is not motivated by a desire to improve the learning of students in academic areas. Instead it is motivated by the sense that information and computational technology has become so ubiquitous in our lives that schools must develop the basic skills in students so that they can function in further schooling and work. Moving to the levels of technology in the five schools described in the preceding chapter accomplishes this goal but adds much more. Increasing the level of technology enables fundamental changes in pedagogy, in the information that students can use, and in the manner in which they use their time. These changes result in significant improvements in their learning.
Estimates from QED and others suggest that public school systems purchased approximately a million new personal computers (PCs) in 1994-95. Pricing a computer at $1,500 on average, expenditures for hardware would be $1.5 billion. On the basis of information from the Software Publishers Association and attendees at RAND's software workshops, expenditures for software were on the order of $750 million. A major market survey estimated that expenditures for training were about half those for software.[2] These costs then total about $2.6 billion. Costs of networking, additional personnel, and other costs might add another $400 to $600 million to provide a crude estimate of $3 to $3.2 billion.
If these costs are roughly correct, they imply a per-student expenditure for technology of about $70, or somewhat less than 1.3 percent of current public expenditures for elementary and secondary education, or 1.1 percent of total expenditures including capital.[3]
As a consequence, for this study, we have sought to develop only a broad estimate of the order of magnitude of the costs of introducing technology into a school. In essence, we have examined the costs of the equipment and associated training in a small number of schools that were nominated by experts as examples of schools that were effectively using technology. We have used these costs, together with estimates of student populations, to provide the reader a sense of the magnitude of costs for more intensive use of technology.[4]
The data collection that we undertook is described in another RAND report.[5] The approach was straightforward. We asked experts to suggest schools that they thought made effective use of technology. The schools were chosen to be representative of a spectrum of student populations and grade levels. Many of them were described in the previous chapter.
Table 3.1 shows the major technology cost components for the schools we examined. The cost figures shown are normally not the actual historical costs but rather a cost estimate based on the amortized cost of the current installation, valued at today's prices. More specifically, the following rules and assumptions were used:
Comparative Cost Figures for Eight Schools
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Corona E.Bakersfield Elizabeth St. Taylorsville Blackstock ALL School Northbrook CC ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Total annual cost $169,863 $299,835 $331,542 $227,942 $381,340 $233,018 $348,450 $151,940 Annual cost per student $142 $182 $184 $371 $410 $432 $453 $490 Student total 1,200 1,650 1,800 615 930 540 770 310 Ratio, 11:1 8:1 9:1 4:1 2:1 4:1 2:1 3:1 Student: computer units Hardware subtotal $50,343 $133,400 $140,341 $110,619 $213,650 $100,258 $232,600 $57,790 Software subtotal $16,600 $11,620 $24,700 $23,633 $38,760 $15,300 $14,200 $15,800 Infrastructure $8,040 $14,905 $19,001 $5,000 $22,930 $6,900 $24,750 $8,300 Staff Dev. $24,880 $24,840 $26,500 $15,690 $85,000 $13,760 $19,400 $11,050 Personnel $62,000 $105,000 $100,000 $69,000 $12,500 $92,000 $42,500 $50,000 Materials $8,000 $10,000 $21,000 $4,000 $8,500 $4,800 $15,000 $9,000 Percentages Hardware subtotal 29.64 44.51 42.33 48.53 56.03 43.03 66.75 38.03 Software subtotal 9.77 3.88 7.45 10.37 10.16 6.57 4.08 10.40 Infrastructure 4.73 4.97 5.73 2.19 6.01 2.96 7.10 5.46 Staff Dev. 14.65 8.28 7.99 6.88 22.29 5.91 5.57 7.27 Personnel 36.50 35.02 30.16 30.27 3.28 39.48 12.20 32.91 Materials 4.71 3.34 6.33 1.75 2.23 2.06 4.30 5.92 Per Student Hardware subtotal $41.95 $80.89 $77.97 $179.87 $229.73 $185.66 $302.08 $186.42 Software subtotal $13.83 $7.04 $13.72 $38.43 $41.68 $ 28.33 $18.44 $50.97 Infrastructure $6.70 $9.03 $10.56 $8.13 $24.66 $ 12.78 $32.14 $26.77 Staff Dev. $20.73 $15.05 $14.72 $ 25.51 $91.40 $ 25.48 $25.19 $35.65 Personnel $51.67 $63.64 $55.56 $112.20 $13.44 $170.37 $55.19 $161.29 Materials $6.67 $6.06 $11.67 $ 6.50 $ 9.14 $ 8.89 $19.48 $29.03 ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ NOTE: Costs annualized according to rules explained on in the text.Our aim was to examine factors affecting total cost; to relate cost with purpose, when possible; to consider how cost might affect financing; and to use these data to prepare some projections for the cost of a nation of technology-enabled schools.
These annualized cost figures do not provide a good picture of the level of front-end investment required to implement a technology strategy. We believe that technology costs should come to be viewed by schools as a recurring expense, because technology is central to a school's operations. Our treatment of costs in annualized terms is consistent with this vision. However, if we assume that schools start with virtually no equipment and phase the equipment and training in over a three-year period, the costs might be approximately 70 percent greater in each of those first three years. Putting this more concretely, for schools near the high end of costs in Table 3.1 with annualized costs of $450 per student, the front end costs for a 1,000-student school might be $2.3 million spread over three years. This would include the training of teachers and administrators.
Not all these costs need be met by additional funds. For example, training costs might be supported by existing funds for staff development or by the staffs' own investments in their professional development. There are also resources for additional staff built into these costs; these might be met by redefining the functions of some of the existing staff members. Finally, some schools will already possess some of the equipment and/or infrastructure. Thus the costs of implementing the designs represented by the various schools we examined will differ in alternative settings.
Technology-Related Costs in Selected Schools
(annualized costs per
student)
______________________________________________________________ Cost Per Students School Student Per Computer ______________________________________________________________ Corona (Los Angeles, CA) $142 11:1 E. Bakersfield, (Bakersfield,CA) $182 8:1 Elizabeth St. (Los Angeles, CA) $184 9:1 Taylorsville (Taylorsville, IN) $371 4:1 Blackstock (Port Hueneme, CA) $410 2:1 ALL School (Worcester, MA) $432 4:1 Northbrook (Houston, TX) $453 2:1 Christopher Columbus (Union City, NJ) $490 3:1 ______________________________________________________________ SOURCE: Keltner and Ross, 1996.
Figure 3.1--Relation of Annualized Cost Per Student to Computer Density
Annualized Expenditures for Educational Technology in Public
K-12
Schools for Several Levels of Investment
_____________________________________________________________________ Annual Expenditures Technology for Education Percentage of Expenditures Technology Current K-12 _____________________________________________________________________ Current $70 3.1 1.2 Moderate $180 8.0 3.2 High $450 19.9 8.0 _____________________________________________________________________ NOTE: For public K-12 schools with 1994-95 fall enrollment of 44.2 million students and total expenditures of $6,300 per student.
However, decisions to fund educational technology are not necessarily well correlated with an indicator of "ability to pay," such as overall educational expenditures are. Figure 3.2 shows the situation for the three states with the highest overall ratios of students to computers and the three with the lowest ratios. While the number of computers per student differs by about a factor of two between these two groups of states, the expenditures per student on education are more nearly the same. Clearly, decisions that technology is important to education can lead states (and their constituent districts) to allocate increased proportions of their resources to technology.[10]
SOURCES: Computer density from QED, 1994; expenditures from NCES, 1995b.
Figure 3.2--Expenditures Per Student for States with
Lowest and Highest
Computer Densities
In the next chapter, we discuss this financing problem and then deal with two other challenges that face the nation as it deepens the level of technology in schools--the professional development of teachers and the shortage of content software.
[2]This is based on a 1993 survey by Market Data Retrieval, Inc., that is reported in OTA, 1995, p. 136.
[3]In a recent report based on interviews with a sample of technology coordinators in school districts, QED estimated that the expenditures were about $3.6 billion for school year 1994-95. See New York Times, 1995. One problem with comparing national estimates of costs is that the definitions that are used are not necessarily consistent. Some probably include administrative as well as instructional applications. (The distinction between the two is not always clear.) Expenditures for teacher training may be understated as well since some of these are incurred by the teachers themselves and some are components of other staff development efforts. Therefore, it is best to treat these as rough estimates of magnitude.
[4]Several efforts are under way to develop a clearer understanding of the costs of introducing technology into schools. The most extensive appears to be that by McKinsey & Company done for the National Information Infrastructure Advisory Committee. As this was being written, the report had not been formally submitted. The McKinsey effort envisions several models of school use of technology and costs the introduction of such technology into schools over 5 and 10 year periods, as well as costing operating and maintaining the equipment once it is in place. While the report is currently confidential, the drafts we have examined suggest national cost estimates that are similar to those that we discuss in this section.
[5]Keltner and Ross, 1996. Note that three additional schools were surveyed by Keltner and Ross. The Corona school in Los Angeles is a technology magnet funded, in part, with a California State Technology Grant. Elizabeth Street School is a K-12 school in Los Angeles that is a part of the New American Schools Development Corporation. The ALL School in Worcester, Massachusetts, is also a NASDC school, and the design is under the direction of Bolt, Beranek, and Newman. These three schools were not explicitly included in our workshop because they did not yet seem to have had enough experience.
[6]As noted in the text, the salaries of these personnel did not necessarily constitute an incremental cost to the school. In some cases, existing personnel were assigned new duties and in at least one case, teachers agreed to a slightly higher class load so that the school could hire a technology specialist to help them.
[7]It is important to note that Keltner and Ross assumed that teachers involved with staff development would be compensated for their time--either through time when relieved from classroom duties (with a substitute being hired) or through a stipend for additional time. This assumption is made no matter what arrangements were made by the actual school and was done to increase comparability of the estimates.
[8]Four hundred fifty dollars per student times 44.2 million students in 1994-95. Current expenditures per student in 1994-95 are estimated at $5,623 while total expenditures per student are estimated at $6,336. Expenditure data are from NCES, 1995b, Table 163. Enrollment data are from the NCES, 1995c, Table 2, Chapter 2.
[9]NCES, 1995b, Table 164.
[10]The fact that the three states with low ratios of students to computers are substantially rural is almost certainly an important determinant here. It is quite likely that distance learning plays a more important role in these three states than in the other three. Remember also that in the previous chapter we cited evidence that computer densities tend to be higher in small schools, which are probably more prevalent in rural states.