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European Military Prospects, Economic Constraints, and the Rapid Reaction Force
This report analyzes the recent record of economic growth, militaryspending, and military investments in Germany, France, the United Kingdom,and Italy. The analysis provides a basis for estimating these countries_capacity to generate sufficient resources to enhance the militarycapabilities sought for the European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) andits instrument, the Rapid Reaction Force (RRF).The study uses economic and military trends in these four countries over the1985-1999 period to make corresponding forecasts for 2001 to 2010. It thencompares these estimates with four independently derived estimates of theinvestment costs of the proposed ESDP/RRF force. The study formulatesseveral options that would enable these countries, in conjunction with othernon-NATO members of the European Union, to finance the investment costsassociated with the ESDP/RRF.The authors conclude that the European Union, while it has the economiccapacity to finance these costs, albeit with some delay in the originaltimetable, is less likely to acquire genuinely enhanced capabilities for theESDP force than to continue to produce descriptive rhetoric about it.
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Pages: 68
ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-3070-1
Contents
Foreword PDF
Figures PDF
Tables PDF
Summary PDF
Acronyms PDF
Chapter One:
Background and Objectives PDF
Chapter Two:
European Economies and Defense Budgets, 1985-1999 and Beyond: Methods and Models PDF
Chapter Three:
Economic and Military Trend Analysis, 1985-1999, and Forecasts for 2001-2010 PDF
Chapter Four:
Preliminary Cost Estimates of the ESDP/RRF and Potential Sources of Funding PDF
Chapter Five:
Political and Strategic Issues: Concluding Observations PDF
Appendix A:
Model and Method PDF
Appendix B:
Selected Demographic Data for Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and Italy PDF
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