A Policy Direction for the Global Positioning System:
Balancing National Security and Commercial Interests
The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a constellation of satellites originally
deployed to aid U.S. armed forces in navigation and position location.
However, over the past 10 years, GPS has evolved far beyond its military
origins. It is now an information resource supporting a wide range of civil,
scientific, and commercial functions--from air traffic control to the
Internet--with precision location and timing information. The market for
civilian applications now exceeds its military counterpart by roughly 3 to 1, a
ratio expected to grow to 8 to 1 by the end of the 1990s. The growth in
civilian applications has spawned a booming market for GPS products and
services. According to the GPS Industry Council, projected sales of commercial
GPS equipment in the year 2000 are expected to total about $8.5 billion (see
Figure 1).

The evolution of GPS into an information system with a substantial
international user community has raised complex policy questions for U.S.
decisionmakers on a variety of issues affecting national defense, commerce, and
foreign policy. These questions fall into four categories:
- Dual-use: How can GPS policy balance national security and
commercial
interests most effectively?
- Funding: Should the U.S. government continue to fund GPS or seek to
collect user fees?
- Governance: How should GPS and associated augmentations be governed
in the future?
- Foreign policy: How should the United States address foreign
concerns
about continued access to GPS signals and maintenance of a stable policy
environment?
RAND/CTI'S GPS Study: Examining the Major Issues
As part of an effort to address these questions, the White House Office
of Science and Technology Policy and the National Science and Technology
Council asked RAND's Critical Technologies Institute (CTI) to examine the major
policy issues surrounding GPS and recommend solutions for addressing them.
CTI's report concludes that a key underlying issue in GPS-related debates is
the lack of a clear policy directive from the U.S. government. To remedy this,
the government should articulate a directive to provide a framework for the
various stakeholders--military, commercial, and international--in GPS
applications. This framework should reassure all users that GPS will continue
to operate in a stable, reliable manner and provide civilian signals free of
direct charges.
The research consisted of three tasks: (1) reviewing the voluminous literature
on GPS; (2) interviewing a wide range of government and industry officials,
primarily in Washington, D.C., California, and Colorado (where the GPS master
control station is located) as well as in Japan and Europe; and (3) conducting
analyses on associated topics, such as patent trends in GPS technologies, the
effectiveness of ballistic and cruise missiles using GPS, electromagnetic
interference problems, and the legal implications of various GPS
applications.
Background: How GPS Works
GPS consists of three segments: a space segment--24 orbiting
satellites; a control segment, which includes a control center and access to
overseas command stations; and a user segment, consisting of GPS user
equipment. GPS was developed by the U.S. Department of Defense at a cost of
approximately $10 billion and was deployed over two decades.
GPS satellites transmit two different signals--the Precision or P-code and the
Coarse Acquisition or C/A-code. The P-code is designed for authorized users
and provides accuracy to within a few meters. To ensure that unauthorized
users do not acquire the P-code, the United States has encrypted the P-code
signal. The C/A-code is designed for nonmilitary users; thus, it is less
accurate and easier to jam than the P-code. However, the C/A-code is easier to
acquire than the P-code, so military receivers first track the C/A-code and
then transfer to the P-code. The U.S. military can degrade the accuracy of the
C/A-code by implementing a technique called selective availability (SA) that
controls the level of accuracy available to users who rely on the C/A-code
alone. Currently, the C/A-code provides users with positions accurate to about
100 meters, whereas the P-code provides an accuracy of 20 meters or better.
Augmentations to GPS can increase the accuracy available to civilian users.
Ground stations compare their known locations with GPS-derived positioning
measurements. The results, known as differential corrections, are then
transmitted to users so they can apply the corrections to their GPS receivers.
Differential corrections can improve the accuracy provided by the civilian GPS
signal from approximately 100 meters to 5 to 10 meters or less, which is
necessary for civilian applications such as precision approaches into harbors
and airports. But ground augmentations can also help circumvent the U.S.
military's ability to selectively degrade the civilian signal's accuracy.
Currently, all accuracy augmentations rely on ground-based networks. Thus,
accuracy augmentations are available only over local regions within range of
appropriate transmitters. In the future, accuracy augmentations may be
broadcast from satellites (see Figure 2), which would allow wide-area
augmentations of the GPS signal.
Policy Recommendations
GPS enables unique military, commercial, and civil capabilities. The
United States has an important opportunity to shape the direction of GPS
applications and mitigate the risks of this new technology.
The recommendations of the RAND/CTI study can be divided into three categories:
integrating U.S. economic and national security objectives, governance and
funding of GPS and its augmentations, and foreign policy. Because of the
dual-use nature of GPS, a policy decision in any one of these realms has
repercussions for the others.
Integrating Economic and National Security Objectives
- The United States should issue a national policy statement on GPS to
provide a more stable framework for public- and private-sector decisionmaking.
This statement should identify U.S. interests and objectives with respect to
GPS, address GPS management and acquisition issues, and provide guidance for
the development of GPS augmentations and future international agreements.
- The United States should initiate discussions with Japan and Europe on
regional security and economic issues associated with GPS, potentially leading
to international agreements. These agreements should be mutually beneficial to
all parties but should not involve the exchange of funds.
- The Department of Defense (DoD) should reduce its reliance on civilian GPS
receivers and the C/A-code for military purposes. It should also develop and
introduce into operation GPS equipment capable of rapid, direct P-code
acquisition.
- DoD should ensure that it can acquire GPS signals even in a challenged
environment and should develop and field anti-jam receivers and antenna
enhancements. DoD should also ensure it has adequate electronic
countermeasures to selectively deny GPS signals to an adversary.
- The United States should not preclude or deter private ground augmentation
services except for reasons of national security or public safety. In deciding
whether civil GPS accuracy augmentations should be selectively deniable, the
primary concern should be to balance national security and public safety, while
taking international acceptance into account. Commercial concerns are
important, but of lower national priority.
Governance and Funding
- The United States government should ensure that GPS is funded and
maintained in a stable manner, free of direct user charges, to promote the
adoption of GPS as a global standard for position location, navigation, and
timing.
- The United States should ensure that the GPS space segment remains subject
to
its control in order to protect its national security interests.
- Local-area DGPS networks, most of which are already under the control of the
private sector and national governments, are not good candidates for
international management because of their limited range, strong national
interests in retaining local control, and the lack of a means for enforcing
international control even assuming this were desirable.
- International governance of wide-area augmentations would not harm U.S.
security interests and would enhance the international acceptance of GPS. It
is likely that international organizations, as well as individual nations,
would want independent oversight of augmentations to GPS integrity and
availability. This oversight may be accommodated in international or regional
agreements.
The table below describes preferred governance regimes for the various segments
of GPS and its augmentations.
Preferred Forms of GPS Governance
Foreign Policy
- The United States should work to minimize international barriers to
commercial GPS-related goods and services, such as proprietary standards and
inadequate spectrum allocations.
- However, the United States should refrain, and encourage others to refrain,
from providing wide-area augmentations of GPS accuracy until appropriate
mechanisms (e.g., military countermeasures or diplomatic agreements) are
identified to deal with potential misuse. Subject to international agreements,
the United States should encourage international integrity monitoring of GPS
for purposes of public safety.
Failure to reassure foreign governments poses risks for continued U.S.
preeminence in GPS goods and services. The international environment for GPS
can evolve in various directions, depending on the nature of U.S. policy. If
the United States actively promotes GPS as a global standard, then it will need
to address the dual-use nature of the technology through international
agreements. If the United States does not actively support GPS or becomes an
unreliable steward, GPS augmentations will move forward independent of U.S.
interests, which in turn will encourage the entry of foreign alternatives to
GPS. The United States would still have GPS for its own national security
purposes, but would risk losing the economic and diplomatic benefits from past
investments in GPS.
RB-1501
RAND research briefs summarize research that has been more fully documented
elsewhere. This research brief describes work done for the
Critical
Technologies Institute; it is documented in The Global Positioning System:
Assessing National Policies, by Scott Pace, Gerald Frost, Irving Lachow, David
Frelinger, Donna Fossum, Donald K. Wassem, and Monica Pinto, MR-614-OSTP, 1995,
400 pp., ISBN: 0-8330-2349-7. Abstracts of all RAND documents may be viewed on the World
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