Understanding Escalation: A Framework for Evaluating the Escalatory Risks of Policy Actions
This report presents an analysis of theoretical, historical, and competitor perspectives on the issue of escalation in crisis or war, leading to the development of a framework to assess the escalatory risk of specific U.S. national policy actions.
Michael J. Mazarr, Dara Massicot, Anthony Atler, Jason H. Campbell, Nathan Chandler, Alexis Dale-Huang, Kotryna Jukneviciute, Raymond Kuo, Krista Langeland, Gwen Mazzotta, Erik E. Mueller, Karl P. Mueller, Mark Stalczynski, Daniel Tapia, Nathan Thompson