What We've Been Up To

Scott W. Harold and Soo Kim on North Korea in Real Clear Defense

July 2020

What would North Korea’s relations with the US, the South, and Japan be like witho​ut Kim Jong Un? More of the same, thanks to the North's long-entrenched elites, according to a commentary by Scott W. Harold and Soo Kim.

Read the article in Real Clear Defense

The future of AI and autonomous systems

July 2020

Rand Waltzman joined the Stars & Stripes Military Matters podcast to discuss how disinformation, misinformation, censorship, social media and news media all play parts in how facts are presented and potentially distorted. What can individuals do to recognize bad information and protect themselves?

Listen to the podcast Read the transcript

The future of AI and autonomous systems

Apr 2020

Yuna Huh Wong joins the Fed Access podcast to discuss how artificial intelligence and the use of autonomous unmanned systems could impact future military crises and conflicts around the world.

Listen to the episode of the Fed Access podcast

Toward a New Theory of Power Projection

Apr 2020

Senior political scientist Michael Mazarr writes that even before the COVID-19 crisis, the military demands for long-istance power projection were becoming financially untenable. Is it time for a major shift in how the United States plans to fulfill this critical military mission?

Read the full article on warontherocks.com

The No-First-Use Debate: Arguments, Assumptions, and an Assessment.

Apr 2020

Political scientist Lisa Saum-Manning writes with Alexis Blanc in the SAIS Review of International Affairs about a proposal for the U.S. to declare that it will not use nuclear weapons first. The authors write that the potential consequences of a no-first-use declaration must be robustly explored to determine how the approach impacts US credibility to defend itself, its allies, and how it might impact overall stability.

Read the full article on muse.jhu.edu (free until May 31)

COVID-19 and the U.S. Military

Apr 2020

Christine Wormuth, director of the NSRD International Security and Defense Program, joins three other experts on U.S. national security to discuss the impact of COVID-19 on the U.S. military. Wormuth endorses the idea of a national 9/11-style commission to scrutinize the U.S. response to COVID-19 and discusses the DoD's ability to assist in the pandemic.

Listen to the episode of the CSIS Defense 2020 podcast on Apple Podcasts

Samuel Charap on tensions between Russia and the West

Feb 2020

Senior political scientist Samuel Charap discussed conclusions from A Consensus Proposal for a Revised Regional Order in Post-Soviet Europe and Eurasia as part of a panel discussion organized by the Center for International Studies at Sciences Po in Paris.

Listen to the panel on soundcloud

Mike Decker on the early years of Marine Corps intelligence

Feb 2020

Senior defense analyst Mike Decker collaborated with former RAND researcher William Mackenzie to contribute an article titled The Birth and Early Years of Marine Corps Intelligence to the Marine Corps University's history of the U.S. Marine Corps magazine.

Read the full article (PDF, page 39)

RAND Recommendations for Improving DoD STEM Workforce Diversity included in FY20 NDAA

Jan 2020

The Conference Report for the FY20 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) directs the DoD to implement "each recommendation included in the 2013 report of the RAND corporation titled 'First Steps Toward Improving DoD STEM Workforce Diversity.'" This study, led by Nelson Lim, recommends that DoD clearly articulate which aspects of diversity to prioritize, establish goals, coordinate efforts across the organization, and pursue a managed-change plan to improve STEM workforce diversity.

Read the full text of the Conference Report for the Fiscal Year 2020 NDAA

Iranian Commander Soleimani Killed: RAND Experts React

Jan 2020

RAND researchers—including Ariane Tabatabai, Colin Clarke, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Becca Wasser, and James Dobbins—were among the community of Middle East experts that reacted to the killing of Iranian Major General Qassem Soleimani just outside the Baghdad airport in Iraq.

Read RAND experts reactions in the hours after the U.S. strike

Breaches bring lessons for the intelligence community

Dec 2019

For the Agency in Focus podcast on the Federal News Network, Sina Beaghley discusses the Office of Personnel Management data breach, the effects of which are still looming over federal cyber efforts.

Listen to the podcast on the Federal News Network

Military deception, in short, could prove to be AI's killer app

Nov 2019

Edward Geist and Marjory Blumenthal discuss the use of AI for deception and evasion in a commentary in War on the Rocks.

Read the commentary in War on the Rocks

Will Blood-Bearing Delivery Drones Transform Disaster Relief and Battlefield Medicine?

Nov 2019

If unmanned aerial vehicles will soon be dropping packages at our doors, can they deliver blood to a combat or disaster zone? Absolutely, according to a new report by Christopher Gilmore, Michael Chaykowsky, and Brent Thomas. The trio developed a tool that uses distance, payload, and response times to determine what type of UAV fleet would be needed, and recommended fixed-wing drones that look more like planes than the usual quadcopter. The military in August ran a series of exercises to test the concept with the help of Zipline, a commercial drone operator. But as Thomas told Forbes and CNBC, military environments may be too dangerous for civilian vendors, though they could be useful in a disaster zone.​

Read the article in Forbes

In Africa, military faces limited options when it comes to speedy care of injured

Oct 2019

Stars & Stripes reported on a RAND project aimed at helping the U.S. Africa Command figure out optimal ways to rescue injured personnel in Africa. The research report was written by Christopher A. Mouton, Edward W. Chan, Adam R. Grissom, John Godges, Badreddine Ahtchi, and Brian Dougherty.​

Read the full Stars & Stripes article

Disinformation Series: Hostile Social Manipulation

Oct 2019

The Cipher Brief published an excerpt of the newly released Hostile Social Manipulation: Present Realities and Emerging Trends. The report about information warfare was authored by Michael J. Mazarr, Abigail Casey, Alyssa Demus, Scott W. Harold, Luke J. Matthews, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, and James Sladden.

Read the full article in the Cipher Brief

A Wargame at RAND Puts Teen Girls in Command

Aug 2019

An essay in RAND Review describes a wargame whose participants are all young women, part of a nationwide movement to bring some diversity to the male-dominated field of national security.

Read the full article essay in RAND Review

US military triggers ‘turbo activation' of wartime sealift ships

Sep 2019

The U.S. Transportation Command has announced a massive test of the sealift fleet's readiness, as Bradley Martin and Roland Yardley recommended in Approaches to Strategic Sealift Readiness​. The authors' research called into question how TRANSCOM had been testing the effectiveness of "turbo activation"—giving semi-dormant cargo vessels with skeleton crews five days to prepare to go out to sea. The authors recommended that the "turbo activation" practice be revised to regular activation of multiple units for multiple days underway to align with missions. The test involving 28 ships is the largest exercise of its kind, according to Defense News. A TRANSCOM statement to Inside Defense says the test was "informed" by the study but not "driven" by it.

Read the full article on Defense News

Enrolling more security clearance holders in continuous evaluation could save billions

Sep 2019

​The Federal News Network published an article focusing on the $30 billion in potential savings from enrolling more security clearance holders in continuous evaluation. The outlet also aired an interview with David Luckey, who co-authored the Assessing Continuous Evaluation Approaches for Insider Threat​​ with David Stebbins, Rebeca Orrie, Erin Rebhan, Sunny D. Bhatt, and Sina Beaghley.

Read the full article on the Federal News Network

Sina Beaghley on the Women in National Security podcast

Aug 2019

Sina Beaghley, Associate Director of NSRD's Cyber and Intelligence Policy Center, appeared on a Women in National Security podcast for the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) to discuss characteristics of the national security workforce and challenges facing it, as well as needed security clearance reform. Beaghley's expertise is based on more than a decade of service in the federal government developing and implementing national security policies before she joined RAND. ​

Listen to the CNAS podcast

Civilization Has Always Been Collapsing For Somebody

June 2019

The question of whether civilization is on the verge of collapse may be as old as civilization itself. RAND defense researcher Jonathan Wong participates in a panel on the collapse of civilizations during a Zócalo/Getty event before an overflow crowd at the Getty Center in Los Angeles.

Listen to the CNAS podcast