The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) has been more successful than its predecessor organization, al Qaeda, in drawing Americans to its cause. Americans drawn to ISIL are more likely to be younger, less educated, Caucasian/white or African American/black, and to have been born in the United States.
National Security Research Division
Blog Posts and Media Coverage
Decisions to authorize military force can have profound implications for a nation. Scenario analysis is useful, but how can nonmilitary factors be included in defense planning? The authors distinguish between political-strategic and military decisions, explain why scenario analysis to support political-strategic decisions is dubious, and note findings about crisis and war variables that can be incorporated into science-based structured scenarios.
Assessing Retention and Special and Incentive Pays for Army and Navy Commissioned Officers in the Special Operations Forces 2019
U.S. Special Operations Forces (SOF) have been deployed intensively in recent years, and this is expected to continue. SOF membership is highly selective, and members receive lengthy and costly training, making retention of those who qualify a high priority. This report focuses on the effectiveness of monetary incentives for SOF commissioned officer retention and the development of a models to assess how such incentives affect retention.
There is a push to make the U.S. government run like the private sector. Alternatives to this approach that attempt to account for the complexity and uniqueness of the U.S. Department of Defense are presented in this report. Recommendations include that estimates of savings should be based on identifying and removing specific barriers as a way to increase effectiveness and efficiency in specific aspects of defense operations.
A RAND Corporation study undertook a literature review and analysis of several case studies to examine factors that could increase the likelihood of success in integrating active and reserve component military staff organizations. The resulting best practices can serve as a framework for undertaking and assessing these integrations.
The authors explain the conceptual underpinnings and basic rules for a RAND-designed security force assistance strategy game. The game is a tool to explore the potential benefits and risks of different security force assistance strategies. The game engine draws on empirical evidence and best practices and, thus, can be applied in many contexts.
The Consolidation of Political Power in China Under Xi Jinping: Implications for the PLA and Domestic Security Forces 2019
Testimony presented before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on February 7, 2019.