National Security Research Division

  • Future Aircraft Carrier Options

    As the U.S. Navy's legacy aircraft carrier force begins reaching expected service life in decades to come, a RAND project explores possible alternatives for consideration to potentially replace it. The variants are possible alternatives that could be developed for less cost than the current program and potentially with sufficient capability.

Blog Posts and Media Coverage

  • At Olympics, U.S. and Korean Leaders Revive Familiar Roles

    Feb 22, 2018

    The current spate of North-South Korean diplomacy could be short-lived, giving way to resumed tensions and mounting fears of war. It seems possible, however, that South Korean President Moon Jae-in will succeed in brokering direct talks between Pyongyang and Washington.

  • Where Will ISIS Seek to Establish Its Next Safe Haven?

    Feb 19, 2018

    Many of ISIS's surviving fighters will seek out new battlefields to continue waging jihad. By coordinating with its allies around the globe, the U.S. could work to help alleviate the conditions that lead states to fail, making them less appealing as sanctuaries where terrorists can rest, rearm, and recuperate.

  • Israel Prepares to Take on Iran and Hezbollah in Syria

    Feb 19, 2018

    Clashes between Israeli, Iranian, and Syrian forces have injected new volatility into the Middle East. This increases the likelihood of miscalculation and escalatory military action across the region.

  • Discrimination Details Matter: Clarifying an Argument About Low-Yield Nuclear Warheads

    Feb 16, 2018

    Nuclear forces and nuclear strategy are complex and the facts surrounding them are often shrouded in classification. But if the United States were to deploy a low-yield submarine-launched ballistic missile warhead in the future, an adversary would face the same problems as it does today in knowing what the missile contains

  • Presidential Intelligence Briefings: The Process Is Working. But Is Trump Listening?

    Feb 15, 2018

    President Trump receives intelligence briefings on a fairly regular basis and he appears engaged in discussions with senior staff and the intelligence community about content. Ideally, this process is informing his national security decisionmaking.

  • Free Lunches for Adversaries

    Feb 13, 2018

    When leaders take actions that are unpopular with wide audiences, propagandists have it easy. While Western leaders should not make propaganda potential the primary factor when weighing policy decisions, neither should they wholly disregard the opportunities that unpopular policies will offer adversaries.

Recent Publications