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RDWTI Research Publications

Below is a list of some of the RAND publications that have reported analyses of data in the RDWTI. We are also collecting information on non-RAND publications using the database, and will include those here if you provide us with a citation and a copy of the report. Please submit nominated reports.

2008

Conducting Counterinsurgency Operations: Lessons from Iraq (2003-2006)

Feb 27, 2008

This research brief examines U.S. counterinsurgency operations in Iraq from 2003 to 2006, including U.S. failure to protect Iraqi civilians; implications for future conflicts; and recommends steps to improve U.S. counterinsurgency capabilities.

Bruce R. Pirnie, Edward O'Connell
Consequence Prevention: A New Model for Addressing Uncertainty About Terrorist Threats

Dec 7, 2008

To help policymakers deal with the uncertainty surrounding the nature of future terrorist threats, traditional terrorism prevention measures should be integrated into a portfolio that also includes measures that mitigate an attack's consequences.

Brian A. Jackson
Countering Insurgency in the Muslim World: Rethinking U.S. Priorities and Capabilities

Feb 5, 2008

This research brief summarizes a RAND report that analyzes insurgencies such as those in Afghanistan and Iraq and calls for a major shift in investment priorities to give the United States the capabilities it needs for effective counterinsurgency.

David C. Gompert, John Gordon IV, Adam R. Grissom, David R. Frelinger, Seth G. Jones, Martin C. Libicki, Edward O'Connell, Brooke Stearns Lawson, Robert E. Hunter
Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan: RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Volume 4

May 6, 2008

An examination of the U.S.-led campaign in Afghanistan illustrates that successful counterinsurgency requires effective indigenous security forces, especially police; a viable local government; and the suppression of external support for insurgents.

Seth G. Jones
Counterinsurgency in Iraq (2003-2006): RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Volume 2

Jan 17, 2008

Implications of failure to protect local populations in counterinsurgency (COIN) operations, overreliance on technology, and lack of a coherent COIN approach, along with strategic considerations in and recommendations to improve U.S. COIN capability.

Bruce R. Pirnie, Edward O'Connell
Dangerous Thresholds: Managing Escalation in the 21st Century

Jul 8, 2008

This analysis of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on a range of historical examples from World War I through Somalia in the early 1990s to inform escalation-related decisionmaking.

Forrest E. Morgan, Karl P. Mueller, Evan S. Medeiros, Kevin L. Pollpeter, Roger Cliff
Defeating Terrorist Groups

Sep 18, 2008

Testimony presented before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Terrorism and Unconventional Threats and Capabilities on September 18, 2008.

Seth G. Jones
Department of Defense Training for Operations with Interagency, Multinational, and Coalition Partners

Aug 1, 2008

"Integrated operations" require the U.S. military to work with other government agencies, organizations, and foreign militaries. Current headquarter-staff training needs to be revamped to focus on high-priority tasks.

Michael Spirtas, Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Harry J. Thie, Joe Hogler, Thomas Young
Deterrence -- From Cold War to Long War: Lessons from Six Decades of RAND Research

Oct 8, 2008

This book examines six decades of RAND Corporation research on deterrence for lessons relevant to the current and future strategic environments.

Austin Long
How Terrorist Groups End: Implications for Countering al Qa'ida

Jun 30, 2008

This research brief describes an analysis of how terrorist groups end. The evidence since 1968 indicates that most groups have ceased to exist as a result of police and intelligence actions or of political accommodations, not military efforts.

Seth G. Jones, Martin C. Libicki
How Terrorist Groups End: Lessons for Countering al Qa'ida

Aug 3, 2008

All terrorist groups end. But how do they end? Most groups since 1968 have ended because they joined the political process or are defeated by police and intelligence services. This has significant implications for countering al Qa'ida.

Seth G. Jones, Martin C. Libicki
In Their Own Words: Voices of Jihad -- Compilation and Commentary

Sep 16, 2008

The actual statements and writings of jihadi terrorists paint a revealing self-portrait of their motives, plans, and mind-set, and offer more profound insights into the jihadi threat.

David Aaron
The Malay-Muslim Insurgency in Southern Thailand -- Understanding the Conflict's Evolving Dynamic: RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Paper 5

May 11, 2008

Current unrest in the Malay-Muslim provinces of southern Thailand has captured growing national, regional, and international attention. This paper assesses the current situation and its probable direction.

Peter Chalk
The Maritime Dimension of International Security: Terrorism, Piracy, and Challenges for the United States

Apr 28, 2008

Piracy and sea-borne terrorism have been on the rise since 2000. While the United States has spearheaded several initiatives to improve maritime security, policymakers should consider four additional measures to safeguard the world's oceans.

Peter Chalk
More Freedom, Less Terror? Liberalization and Political Violence in the Arab World

Sep 9, 2008

Examines the effects that liberalization processes and democracy promotion have had on terrorism and political violence in six Arab countries.

Dalia Dassa Kaye, Frederic Wehrey, Audra K. Grant, Dale Stahl
Piracy and Terrorism at Sea: A Rising Challenge for U.S. Security

Apr 30, 2008

This research brief summarizes RAND's analysis of recent trends in piracy and maritime terrorism, which pose a significant threat. The United States has taken only limited steps to enhance maritime security; broader measures are required.

Peter Chalk
Rethinking Counterinsurgency: RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Volume 5

Apr 15, 2008

British and U.S. counterinsurgency (COIN) operations have been slow to adapt to the rise of the global jihadist insurgency. The authors analyze past British COIN experience, explore the evolving nature of insurgency, and suggest a new COIN framework.

John Mackinlay, Alison Al-Baddawy

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

1984

Trends in International Terrorism, 1982 and 1983

Jan 1, 1984

This report analyzes incidents recorded in The RAND Corporation's chronology of international terrorism for 1982 and 1983.

Bonnie Cordes, Bruce Hoffman, Brian Michael Jenkins, Konrad Kellen, Sue Ellen Moran, William F. Sater