Published Research

We disseminate the results of our work as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Tens of thousands of RAND publications are available as free downloads, dating back to 1946.

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User's Guide for the Total Force Blue Line Model
This user's guide is for users of the Total Force Blue Line model, which projects rated inventories for the Regular Air Force, Air Force Reserve, and Air National Guard and accounts for interactions between them.
Dec 7, 2023
Tara L. Terry, Vikram Kilambi
Report
The Dynamic Retention Model: Theory, Estimates, Innovations, and Extensions
This report summarizes decades of RAND Corporation research on the dynamic retention model, a model particularly suited to assess major structural changes in compensation systems, such as that of the U.S. military and civil service institutions.
Dec 6, 2023
Michael G. Mattock, Beth J. Asch
Report
Replicating Threats in Operational Test and Training Infrastructure: The Investment Required to Keep Pace with Adversary Threat Generation
The authors of this report estimate the rate at which China and Russia field new threats and examine the costs and benefits of keeping Air Force operational training infrastructure at pace with new adversary capabilities.
Dec 6, 2023
Anna Jean Wirth, John A. Ausink, Bradley DeBlois, Sale Lilly, Dara Massicot, Maria McCollester, Ronald G. McGarvey, Michael Kennedy, Shane Tierney, Liam McLane
Report
The Vitality Active Rewards with Apple Watch Benefit: A follow-up study
Smartwatch benefits from a UK insurance provider increase members physical activity days per month by 40% (first watch benefit), 13% (second) and 11% (third).
Dec 6, 2023
Robert J. Romanelli, Sarah Parkinson, William Phillips, Stephanie Stockwell, Christian Van Stolk
Journal Article
Barriers and Facilitators to Optimal Fluoride Varnish Application
Guidelines recommend that children under age six receive fluoride varnish (FV) in medical settings. However, application rates remain low. This study aimed to update understanding of barriers and facilitators to guideline concordant FV application.
Dec 6, 2023
Sarah L. Goff, Charlotte F. Gilson, Erin DeCou, Andrew W. Dick, Kimberley Geissler, Michelle Dalal, Ashley M. Kranz
Report
"If Everyone Is Responsible, Then No One Is": Proceedings from a Roundtable on Factors That Affect Veterans' Transitions from Military to Civilian Life
The RAND Epstein Family Veterans Policy Research Institute hosted a roundtable discussion on the transition to becoming a veteran and its implications for life trajectories, spanning one year prior to one year after leaving military service.
Dec 6, 2023
Kayla M. Williams, Heather Marie Salazar, Carrie M. Farmer, Rajeev Ramchand
Commercial Book
Deterrence Under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare
Using insights from computer science, Deterrence Under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare evaluates how AI could make nuclear war winnable, and whether that possibility is likely.
Dec 5, 2023
Edward Geist
Report
Disrupting the Chinese Military in Competition and Low-Intensity Conflict: An Analysis of People's Liberation Army Missions, Tasks, and Potential Vulnerabilities
The authors (1) identify tasks that the Chinese military would likely be assigned in peacetime competition with the United States and in a hypothetical low-intensity conflict and (2) analyze potential vulnerabilities in execution of those tasks.
Dec 5, 2023
Timothy R. Heath, Eric Robinson, Christian Curriden, Derek Grossman, Sale Lilly, Daniel Egel, Gabrielle Tarini
Report
Strategic Disruption by Special Operations Forces: A Concept for Proactive Campaigning Short of Traditional War
RAND researchers develop a new concept for strategic disruption by special operations forces, exploring how disruptive campaigns can frustrate an adversary’s preferred strategy and enable friendly gains across multiple instruments of national power.
Dec 5, 2023
Eric Robinson, Timothy R. Heath, Gabrielle Tarini, Daniel Egel, Mace IV Moesner, Christian Curriden, Derek Grossman, Sale Lilly
Report
Artificial Intelligence–Based Student Activity Monitoring for Suicide Risk: Considerations for K–12 Schools, Caregivers, Government, and Technology Developers
Schools have begun employing artificial intelligence (AI)–based tools to help identify students at risk for suicide. The authors examine how these programs are implemented, how stakeholders perceive their effects, and their benefits and risks.
Dec 5, 2023
Lynsay Ayer, Benjamin Boudreaux, Jessica Welburn Paige, Pierrce Holmes, Tara Laila Blagg, Sapna J. Mendon-Plasek
Report
China's Global Energy Interconnection: Exploring the Security Implications of a Power Grid Developed and Governed by China
The authors of this report demystify the potential global security implications associated with the Global Energy Interconnection—China’s important but poorly understood initiative to establish a global power grid.
Dec 5, 2023
Fiona Quimbre, Ismael Arciniegas Rueda, Henri van Soest, Jon Schmid, Howard J. Shatz, Timothy R. Heath, Michal Meidan, Andrea Wullner, Paul Deane, James Glynn, Liam Regan
Report
Demographic and Geographic Characteristics of Green Stormwater Infrastructure Investments in Five U.S. Cities: A Machine Learning–Based Analysis
This report presents the results of an exploratory machine learning–based analysis of green stormwater infrastructure asset data across five cities in the United States.
Dec 4, 2023
Michelle E. Miro, Susan A. Resetar, Kelly Hyde, Joshua Steier, Michael T. Wilson, Zara Fatima Abdurahaman, Vanessa Wolf
Visualization
Evaluating the Demographic and Geographic Characteristics of Green Stormwater Infrastructure: Findings from a Machine Learning–Based Analysis of Five U.S. Cities
This visual presents the results of an exploratory machine learning–based analysis of green stormwater infrastructure asset data across five cities in the United States.
Dec 4, 2023
Michelle E. Miro, Susan A. Resetar, Kelly Hyde, Joshua Steier, Michael T. Wilson, Zara Fatima Abdurahaman
Journal Article
Hospice Care Experiences Among Medicare Decedents With and Without COVID-19, 2020–2021
Care experiences declined in 2020-2021 by a small amount for hospice patients without COVID-19 and by a medium-to-large amount for patients with COVID-19. Differences in care experience between patients with and without COVID-19 narrowed over time.
Dec 4, 2023
Ann C. Haas, Rebecca Anhang Price, Marc N. Elliott, Joan M. Teno, Maria DeYoreo
Journal Article
Expert Views on State Policies to Improve Engagement and Retention in Treatment for Opioid Use Disorder: A Qualitative Analysis of an Online Modified Delphi Process
This study gathered expert consensus on the effectiveness and implementability of state policies to improve engagement and retention in treatment for opioid use disorder (OUD).
Dec 4, 2023
Sean Grant, Rosanna Smart, Adam J Gordon, Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, Bradley D. Stein
Report
Intellectual, Developmental, and Physical Disabilities in U.S. Legal Settings: A Scoping Review
The authors conducted a scoping review to assess the current state of the literature related to individuals with disabilities who interact with the criminal and civil legal systems, with the goal of developing a future research agenda.
Nov 30, 2023
Stephanie Brooks Holliday, Andrew Scruggs, Allyson D. Gittens, Samantha Matthews, Catria Gadwah-Meaden, Rebecca L. Wolfe, Jack Kroger, Alina I. Palimaru
Report
Intellectual, Developmental, and Physical Disabilities in U.S. Legal Settings: Perspectives from People with Relevant Experience
The authors conducted interviews with professionals and people with lived experience to understand what it is like to interact with the civil or criminal legal system while having a disability, with the goal of developing a future research agenda.
Nov 30, 2023
Alina I. Palimaru, Allyson D. Gittens, Stephanie Brooks Holliday
Report
Intellectual, Developmental, and Physical Disabilities in U.S. Legal Settings: A Proposed Agenda for Future Research
In this report, the authors propose recommendations to guide researchers as they examine the experience of individuals with disabilities and their interactions with the U.S. criminal and civil legal systems.
Nov 30, 2023
Stephanie Brooks Holliday, Alina I. Palimaru, Allyson D. Gittens
Research Brief
Striving for Diversity: Observations on Racial and Ethnic Talent in the Regular Army's Senior Officer Corps
This brief discusses research on the progression of racial and ethnic minority officers through the ranks and ways to improve promotion rates to increase diversity in senior Army leadership.
Nov 30, 2023
Maria C. Lytell, Michael L. Hansen, Avery Calkins, Matthew D. Baird, Nastassia Reed, Kristin J. Leuschner, Clifford A. Grammich
Report
Retention of Racial-Ethnic Minorities in the Regular Army
To help the Army accomplish its diversity goals, RAND Arroyo Center examined retention of racial-ethnic minorities in the Regular Army's enlisted and officer ranks and how racial-ethnic composition changes as soldiers progress in their careers.
Nov 30, 2023
Maria C. Lytell, Michael L. Hansen, Avery Calkins, Matthew D. Baird, Nastassia Reed, Kristin J. Leuschner, Clifford A. Grammich

Published Research

Featured Publications

Resisting Russia: Insights into Ukraine's Civilian-Based Actions During the First Four Months of the War in 2022 2023

All Work and No Pay — Teachers' Perceptions of Their Pay and Hours Worked: Findings from the 2023 State of the American Teacher Survey 2023

National Public Defense Workload Study 2023

Preparing for Great Power Conflict: How Experience Shapes U.S. and Chinese Military Training 2023

Exploring Ohio's Pipeline of Manufacturing Workers: Summary of Key Findings 2023

One- to Four-Family Properties with Multiple Losses Insured by the National Flood Insurance Program: Property Characteristics, Community Demographics, and Mitigation Strategies 2023