The Gulf of Thailand May Be the Next U.S.-China Flashpoint

commentary

Sep 3, 2024

The Funan Techo Canal Logistics System Project in Kandal province, Cambodia, August 5, 2024, photo by Chantha Lach/Reuters

The Funan Techo Canal Logistics System Project in Kandal province, Cambodia, August 5, 2024

Photo by Chantha Lach/Reuters

This commentary originally appeared on Nikkei Asia on September 2, 2024.

While geopolitical tensions between China and the United States have soared in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait, raising serious fears of war, another important body of water in the Indo-Pacific—the Gulf of Thailand—has heretofore remained relatively calm. That may be set to change in the coming years as Beijing embarks on a series of controversial projects that could inflame the region.…

The remainder of this commentary is available at nikkei.com.

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Derek Grossman is a senior defense analyst at RAND and an adjunct professor in the practice of political science and international relations at the University of Southern California. He formerly served as an intelligence adviser at the Pentagon.

Commentary gives RAND researchers a platform to convey insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis.