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Commentary

Oct 13, 2014

The Foreign Policy Essay: Hearts, Minds, & ISIL

Defeating ISIL will not come from winning hearts and minds and soft power, nor will it come from a handful of precision airstrikes. It will require hard, bloody ground combat. The United States may not want to admit this, but it is the grim truth nonetheless.
Testimony

Sep 17, 2014

Defeating the Islamic State in Iraq

Testimony presented before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on September 17, 2014.
Commentary

Sep 2, 2014

A Broad Approach to Countering the Islamic State

Recent analysis about how to defeat the Islamic State tends to be based on no more than intuition, a general sense of history, or a small number of cases of questionable comparability. A study of 71 historical cases of counterinsurgencies should help provide empirical evidence to this important debate.
Report

Jun 8, 2012

RAND NSRD Annual Report 2011-2012

Surveys the work of the RAND National Security Research Division from the spring of 2011 through the winter of 2012.
Multimedia

May 1, 2012

Seth Jones Discusses President Obama's Afghanistan Address

Seth Jones, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation, and Brian Katulis of the Center for American Progress discuss implications of the President Obama's address after a surprise visit to Afghanistan with PBS NewsHour's Gwen Ifill.
Journal Article

Jan 1, 2012

Qualitative Comparative Analysis of 30 Insurgencies, 1978-2008

Useful recommendations for US engagement in and support for COIN operations.
Journal Article

Jan 17, 2011

Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Evidence of Effective Approaches to Counterinsurgency, 1978-2008

Good COIN practices tend to "run in packs" and the balance of selected good and bad practices predicts insurgency outcomes.
Journal Article

Jan 1, 2011

Evidentiary Validation of FM 3-24: Counterinsurgency Worldwide, 1978-2008

Discusses the demonstrated efficacy of the COIN principles embodied in FM 3-24, historical evicence and data collected from 30 case studies for recent resolved insurgencies. The vast majority of governments and COIN forces that adhered to multiple tenets of the field manual prevailed over the insurgencies they opposed.
Commentary

Oct 26, 2010

Your COIN Is No Good Here

One can legitimately argue for reducing the United States' commitment to the Afghan war, but it makes no sense to denigrate the tactics and techniques best designed to counter an insurgency, writes James Dobbins.
News Release

Jul 26, 2010

Local Communities in Afghanistan Can Play Crucial Role in Improving Security

The Afghan government and NATO can improve security in Afghanistan by leveraging traditional policing institutions in rural villages and mobilizing the population against insurgents.
Commentary

Jun 30, 2010

Why U.S. Soldiers in Afghanistan Are So Frustrated

President Obama's declaration last week that a change in personnel will not mean a change in policy suggests that the administration took only some of the lessons contained in Michael Hastings' Rolling Stone article, writes Celeste Ward Gventer.
Commentary

Dec 9, 2009

Ends, Ways, and Means—the Debate We Still Need on Afghanistan

When President Obama explained his decision to send 30,000 additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan to support General Stanley McChrystal's new counterinsurgency campaign, he left a key question unanswered: Will this be enough to achieve U.S. strategic ends in Afghanistan? writes David E. Johnson.

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