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Decisionmaking

Journal Article

Preparing for Future Droughts in Lima, Peru: Enhancing Lima's Drought Management Plan to Meet Future Challenges

This study evaluates the performance of Lima, Peru's current drought management plan against future droughts and proposes augmentations, and it recommends ways to ensure that the drought management plan performs will in the uncertain future.

May 14, 2019
Report

Report

An Analytic Inventory of DHS Headquarters Business Processes

This report provides an inventory of U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) analytic capabilities in the including current capabilities in use for decisionmaking, as DHS establishes an Analytic Agenda.

Apr 24, 2019
Journal Article

Journal Article

Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice

This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty.

Apr 11, 2019
Journal Article

Journal Article

Reflections: DMDU and Public Policy for Uncertain Times

This chapter seeks to provide a thematic connection between the theory and application chapters that preceded it and the emerging needs of public policy decisionmaking processes.

Apr 10, 2019
Journal Article

Robust Decision Making (RDM): Application to Water Planning and Climate Policy

This chapter presents two case studies that demonstrate how DMDU methods, in particular Robust Decision Making (RDM) (see Chap. 2), can help develop robust long-term strategies.

Apr 10, 2019
Journal Article

Journal Article

Robust Decision Making (RDM)

Decisionmakers often seek predictions about the future to inform policy choices. But a reliance upon analytic methods that require them can prove counter-productive and sometimes dangerous in a fast-changing, complex world.

Apr 10, 2019
Report

Report

Do Differing Analyses Change the Decision? Using a Game to Assess Whether Differing Analytic Approaches Improve Decisionmaking

In this report, RAND researchers use a structured comparison game to examine the value proposition of different analytic inputs (scenario-based versus Robust Decision Making) on a sample U.S. Department of Defense decision about force structure.

Apr 8, 2019
Journal Article

Bezos World or Levelers: Can We Choose Our Scenario?

This essay explores how AI might be used to enable fundamentally different future worlds and how one such future might be enabled by AI algorithms with different goals and functions than those most common today.

Mar 28, 2019
Commentary

Assessing Confidence in “What Works” in Social Policy

Policy decisions are increasingly informed (or expected to be informed) by research evidence. Making the process as systematic, transparent and explicit as possible provides users with ways to understand, question and contribute to the eventual policy recommendation, and gives policymakers and practitioners confidence in its credibility.

Mar 21, 2019
Report

Decision Support Tool for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Levees Investment Strategy: Documentation and Use

This report describes the decision support tool and underlying methodology used to support the development of a levee investment strategy for the California Delta Stewardship Council.

Mar 7, 2019
Tool

Decision Support Tool for the San Francisco Bay-Delta Levee Investment Strategy

The Delta Stewardship Council commissioned the development of a risk modeling framework and decision support tool (DST) to aid in the formulation of a Delta Levees Investment Strategy.

Mar 7, 2019
Essay

Resilience and Adaptation Strategies Can Address the Impacts of Climate Change

With climate change already generating storms, heat waves, and droughts beyond historical norms, local governments need to do more to prepare. A decisionmaking framework developed by RAND allows communities to stress-test ideas, weigh the trade-offs, and plan for a range of possible futures.

Feb 26, 2019
Report

Report

Science-Based Scenario Design: A Proposed Method to Support Political-Strategic Analysis

How can nonmilitary factors be used in defense planning? The authors distinguish between political-strategic and military decisions and discuss recent findings regarding crisis and war variables to create science-based structured scenarios.

Feb 18, 2019
Brochure

Brochure

RAND's Impact: Year in Review 2018

The RAND Corporation's mission is to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis; this Year in Review reflects on RAND's achievements in 2018.

Feb 1, 2019
Journal Article

Journal Article

Resilience of the Eastern African Electricity Sector to Climate Driven Changes in Hydropower Generation

This study developed a framework consisting of long-term models for electricity supply and water systems management, to assess the vulnerability of potential electricity infrastructure expansion plans to the effects of climate change in Africa.

Jan 29, 2019
Commentary

Triaging Climate Change

There are many opportunities to manage climate risk around the world, but not everything can be saved. Delaying triage of climate damages could leave societies making ad hoc decisions instead of focusing on protecting the things they value most.

Jan 23, 2019
Journal Article

Journal Article

Identifying Climate Service Production Constraints to Adaptation Decision-Making in Sweden

This paper draws on semi-structured interviews across climate service production environments in Sweden and finds that climate service producers experience multiple constraints related to the production and dissemination of actionable information.

Jan 4, 2019
Tool

Better Policing Toolkit

The Better Policing Toolkit is a resource to help law enforcement agencies identify and implement the most effective strategies for different crime problems.

Dec 14, 2018
Commentary

Evidence Synthesis—Behind the Scenes

The Royal Society and RAND Europe recently published an evidence synthesis on the impacts of ammonia emissions from agriculture on biodiversity. As well as aiming to provide a useful summary of the evidence to inform ongoing policy discussions, the study was intended to test the Royal Society's recently developed principles for good evidence synthesis for policy.

Nov 30, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

Hidden-Model Processes for Adaptive Management Under Uncertain Climate Change

This paper proposes a set of optimization procedures based on the Markov decision process (MDP) framework to support decision making depending on the assumed learning rate.

Nov 27, 2018

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RAND Topic:
Decisionmaking

Topic Synonyms:
DA;
Decision Analysis;
Decision Making