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>Intelligence Analysis

Intelligence Analysis

Intelligence Analysis

Intelligence analysis is the process by which the information collected about an enemy is used to answer tactical questions about current operations or to predict future behavior. RAND has helped the U.S. intelligence community streamline its processes and aided military analysts collecting and processing information on the battlefield.

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Intelligence Community

Report

The Role of Information in U.S. Concepts for Strategic Competition

Oct 25, 2022
Commentary

The Intelligence Community's Deadly Bias Toward Classified Sources

Apr 12, 2021

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Report

Aug 6, 2024

Exploring Artificial Intelligence Use to Mitigate Potential Human Bias Within U.S. Army Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield Processes

The authors of this report explore how artificial intelligence might be used to mitigate cognitive biases in U.S. Army intelligence preparation of the battlefield processes.
Report

Feb 22, 2024

Managing Escalation: Lessons and Challenges from Three Historical Crises Between Nuclear-Armed Powers

Using three historical case studies, the authors examine the ability of past decisionmakers to identify adversary thresholds and to apply this information to control escalation during militarized crises between nuclear-armed states.
Report

Feb 13, 2024

Has Trust in the U.S. Intelligence Community Eroded? Examining the Relationship Between Policymakers and Intelligence Providers

Researchers explored whether and to what degree trust in intelligence predictions has degraded over time and what factors might have driven any perceived or real changes in the relationship between U.S. policymakers and the intelligence community.
Report

Oct 25, 2022

The Role of Information in U.S. Concepts for Strategic Competition

A detailed enumeration of activities, a synthesis of expert consensus on challenges to gray zone competition, and a dynamic menu of solutions can enhance the U.S. competitive position in the gray zone and beyond.
Report

Feb 28, 2022

Options for Strengthening All-Source Intelligence: Substantive Change Is Within Reach

Foreign attacks against the United States occur frequently. The authors propose game-changing ideas to enable intelligence analysts to address long-standing challenges related to the use of open sources, analytic tradecraft, and politicization.
Research Brief

Feb 11, 2022

Assessing Systemic Strengths and Vulnerabilities of China's Defense Industrial Base

This brief presents an assessment of the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB), using a methodology that could be applied to assess any country's DIB.
Report

Feb 11, 2022

Assessing Systemic Strengths and Vulnerabilities of China's Defense Industrial Base: With a Repeatable Methodology for Other Countries

The authors assess the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB) by designing and applying a comparative analytic structure that could be used to assess any country's DIB.
Report

Aug 26, 2021

Evaluating the Effectiveness of Artificial Intelligence Systems in Intelligence Analysis

The authors develop methods for assessing the impact of deploying artificial intelligence (AI) systems to support intelligence missions.
Report

Aug 3, 2021

Documenting Intelligence Mission-Data Production Requirements: How the U.S. Department of Defense Can Improve Efficiency and Effectiveness by Streamlining the Production Requirement Process

The authors examine issues relating to the identification of requirements for Intelligence Mission Data and intelligence production for the Acquisition Intelligence Requirements Task Force.
Report

Jun 30, 2021

Understanding Influence in the Strategic Competition with China

This report examines China's ability to use various mechanisms of influence to shape the policies and behavior of 20 countries, as well as the lessons that these examples offer for the United States' strategic competition with China.
Commentary

Apr 12, 2021

The Intelligence Community's Deadly Bias Toward Classified Sources

Even when relevant data is publicly available, U.S. intelligence analysts are not including it in their analytic products during their routine course of business. This willful ignorance of publicly available information is hurting U.S. national security.
Commentary

Mar 4, 2021

An Early Policy Victory for DNI Haines: Boost the Priority of Open Sources Information

The quantity, quality, and accessibility of publicly available information has exploded over the past decades. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines has an opportunity to advance intelligence community mission activities on several key issues shaped by the digital information age, including the role of publicly available information.

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