Andrew R. Hoehn

Inflection Point: How to Reverse the Erosion of U.S. and Allied Military Power and Influence

U.S. military forces no longer enjoy the kind of comprehensive superiority that was the foundation of victories over adversary states. Re-establishing a credible posture against aggression by highly capable adversaries will call for sustained, coordinated efforts by the United States, its allies, and its key partners to rethink their approaches to defeating aggression and to recast important elements of their military forces and postures.

It Should Not Have Been a Surprise: The Threat from Putin's Russia

The recent NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, left the world asking a hard question: “Are we in a new Cold War with Russia?” Our answer is to a different, and harder, and more important question: Is Russia already at war with the West?

Is the Warning Clock on Our National Defense Running Out?

The United States has never invoked a ten-year rule regarding preparations for long-term military competition with China, as Great Britain did after World War I. But there have been times when the United States has behaved as if such a rule were in place.

Climate Security Is National Security

Mitigating the effects of climate change will require a whole-of-government approach and a redefinition of national security to embrace a more panoramic set of risks. Government officials are saying lots of the right things. But is it being done, and done quickly enough?

Can Cheap Drones Be the Answer to Tensions in the Taiwan Strait?

The more we learn about the war in Ukraine, the more we come to know that drones will play an increasingly important role on the modern battlefield. But how is the U.S. military thinking about what role these aircraft might play in future wars? When paired with modern sensors, could they offer an asymmetric advantage in future competitions?

Keeping America Safe in an Age of Danger: Q&A with Andrew Hoehn and Thom Shanker

In their new book, Andrew Hoehn and Thom Shanker argue that America has entered an age of danger that may come to rival anything in its history. They explain why the national security system needs an overhaul as we face a growing array of threats, from cyber attacks to climate change.

Reframing Retirement

Retirement is a fluid concept. Many retirees would consider returning to the workforce if conditions were right and they could set their own pace. A reframing of the aging and retirement process would allow us to see the issue in a new way.

Biden's Child Tax Credit Will Bring Lifetime of Improvement

The American Rescue Plan is expected to cut child poverty in the United States by more than 40 percent. The benefits are important to families today and could be compounded over the hundred years these children are expected to live.

Humans Are Living Longer, So What Do We Do with All This Extra Time?

Medical and public health improvements over the past century have led to dramatic increases in longevity. New policies may be needed to ensure these extra years become mutually beneficial to all generations.

Modern American Heroes: Let's Not Lose Sight of the Nameless Government Workers

There are 800,000 government employees that aren't being paid during the partial U.S. government shutdown. These workers play a critical role in making America safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous.

Can Washington Successfully Prepare for the Future?

The impossibility of predicting the future does not remove the need to mull the uncertain. Policymakers should build in windows of time to think imaginatively about the pursuit of America's strategic objectives, and take a bird's-eye view of the role America can and should play in shaping an increasingly complex, chaotic world.

America and the World Are at a Crossroads

Populism is on the march across the globe. Many of the certainties of even the recent past seem much less certain now—including the idea of the United States maintaining a leadership role in the world.

How Trump Can Deter Russia and All of America's Other Enemies

There is no such thing as blanket deterrence. Rather, one must deter a specific adversary from taking a specific action. A holistic approach should include ramping up U.S. capabilities to anticipate emerging threats, including events that are unlikely to happen.

A Three-Menu Path for Trump Foreign Policy

The Trump administration would benefit from a comprehensive strategic orientation — a basic set of operating principles backed by a set of actions and realistic budget — to guide the innumerable tactical decisions of U.S. foreign policy.

The New Global Juggling Act

Areas that have long been a focal point for defense planning -- Europe, the Middle East and East Asia -- are all facing profound and unsettling change, and the United States may no longer have the luxury of choosing among regions.

Changing World Climate Requires a Dynamic Foreign Policy

As Secretary of State Kerry and former senator Chuck Hagel outline their thinking on the nation's strategy, let us hope that they both hold firm to the strategy that has served us well in the past and have the courage to explore a very different set of political and military ways to accomplish it, write Lynn Davis and Andrew Hoehn.

America's Role in the World

It is time to be clear-headed again about the influence the U.S. has in the world. And it is time for the country to show the confidence--not to be confused with arrogance--that the rest of the world seems to have in it, writes Andrew R. Hoehn.

Real Roles, Missions Debate

The United States can and should move beyond a "one size fits all" approach to sizing military forces toward a construct that shapes each service for the types of operations it is actually expected to conduct in the future, write Andrew Hoehn and David Ochmanek.

America's Long Wars

Published commentary by RAND staff: America's Long Wars, in United Press International.

Report

Inflection Point: How to Reverse the Erosion of U.S. and Allied Military Power and Influence

The U.S. defense strategy and posture have become insolvent. To defeat evolving threats, such as China's broad military modernization and Russia's reconstituted forces, more-coordinated efforts by the United States and its allies are required.

Commercial Book

Age of Danger: Keeping America Safe in an Era of New Superpowers, New Weapons, and New Threats

An urgent look at how America's national security machine went astray and how it fails to keep us safe — and what we can do to fix it.

Report

Discontinuities and Distractions — Rethinking Security for the Year 2040: Findings from a RAND Corporation Workshop

This report is based on a workshop that focused on how to better define, anticipate, and address continuities (trends that are unsurprising) and discontinuities (developments that are not considered but prove consequential enough to change history).

Research Brief

Exploring America's Role in a Turbulent World: Strategic Rethink

This brief outlines the Strategic Rethink project and describes research documented in the final volume of the project, focusing on three different strategic orientations to satisfy the greatest number of U.S. interests and objectives.

Report

Strategic Choices for a Turbulent World: In Pursuit of Security and Opportunity

This report is the last of a series in which RAND explores the elements of a national strategy for the conduct of U.S. foreign policy, in this new era of turbulence and uncertainty. Three alternative strategic concepts are presented.

Research Brief

America's Security Deficit: Addressing the Imbalance Between Strategy and Resources in a Turbulent World

This research brief summarizes the second volume in RAND's Strategic Rethink series, in which RAND experts offer a detailed analysis of U.S. options for defense strategy in the context of a challenging global security environment.

Report

America's Security Deficit: Addressing the Imbalance Between Strategy and Resources in a Turbulent World: Strategic Rethink

Analyzes defense options available to respond to current and emerging threats to U.S. security and interests, focusing on ways to adapt military instruments, defense investments, and defense spending levels commensurate with the interests at stake.

Brochure

Challenges in U.S. National Security Policy: A Festschrift Honoring Edward L. (Ted) Warner

Among Ted Warner's many notable accomplishments, perhaps the most important has been the opportunity to mentor a substantial number of exceptionally talented men and women on various aspects of U.S. and Russian defense and arms control policy.

Report

Succession Management for Senior Military Positions: The Rumsfeld Model for Secretary of Defense Involvement

As Secretary of Defense, Donald H. Rumsfeld considerably revised the process for selecting senior U.S. military officers for top-ranking positions. The authors examine these changes and how the process has evolved since Rumsfeld's departure in 2006.

Report

Risking NATO: Testing the Limits of the Alliance in Afghanistan

NATO's success in Afghanistan -- or lack thereof -- will have significant implications for the alliance itself; failure to address the long and daunting list of related challenges would risk the alliance's long-term success and sustainability.

Report

A New Division of Labor: Meeting America's Security Challenges Beyond Iraq

The promotion of democracy and freedom abroad will continue to require changes in how U.S. armed forces are organized and employed and how the services relate to one another and to U.S. allies.

Research Brief

America's Security Challenges Require a New Division of Labor Among the Armed Forces

This research brief assesses the primary challenges to U.S. security in the emerging security environment and offers suggestions for how the U.S. strategy and the defense program should be adjusted in order to meet these challenges.