Andrew R. Morral

Photo of Andrew Morral
Senior Behavioral Scientist, Director of the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research
Washington Office

Education

Ph.D. in psychology, New School for Social Research

Media Resources

This researcher is available for interviews.

To arrange an interview, contact the RAND Office of Media Relations at (310) 451-6913, or email media@rand.org.

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Overview

Andrew R. Morral is a senior behavioral scientist at the RAND Corporation, leader of Gun Policy in America, a RAND initiative to understand the effects of gun policies, and director of the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research, a philanthropy that will award $20m-$50m in research funding to non-RAND researchers. His expertise includes program evaluation, modeling and simulation, survey research, and performance measurement. He has developed innovative techniques for examining drug use epidemiology and survey response accuracy, and causal modeling software that is now widely used. In addition to his gun policy work, his recent research includes multiple studies examining the prevalence and characteristics of sexual assaults of members of the U.S. military, an evaluation of the Israel Police, an assessment of the validity of the primary aviation system terrorism risk model used by the U.S. Transportation Security Administration, and two studies of the deterrence benefits attributable to counterterrorism security systems. Morral has published dozens of peer-reviewed reports, and has served as a science advisor to the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, to the Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorist Events, and to the DHS Chemical Facility Anti-Terrorism Standards program. He holds a Ph.D. in psychology from New School for Social Research.

Recent Projects

  • Gun Policy in America: A RAND Initiative
  • Sexual assault and harassment in the US Armed Forces
  • Improving the performance of the Israel Police
  • Deterrence in counterterrorism security
  • Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system

Selected Publications

, Reducing Disagreements on Gun Policy Through Scientific Research and an Improved Data Infrastructure (Testimony presented before the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies on March 7, 2019), RAND Corporation: Santa Monica. (CT-504), 2019

RAND Corporation (Morral, co-author), The Science of Gun Policy: A Critical Synthesis of Research Evidence on the Effects of Gun Policy in the United States. , RAND Corporation: Santa Monica. (RR-2088-RC), 2018

Morral AR, Schell TL, Tankard M, The Magnitude and Sources of Disagreement among Gun Policy Experts. , RAND Corporation: Santa Monica. (RR-2088/1), 2018

Morral, Andrew R., Gore, Kristie L., Schell, Terry L., Sexual Assault and Sexual Harassment in the US Military, Volumes 1-6, RAND (RR-870), 2018

Schell, T.L, Griffin, B.A., Morral, A.R. , Evaluating Methods to Estimate the Effect of State Laws on Firearms Deaths: A Simulation Study. , RAND Corporation: Santa Monica. (RR-2685), 2018

Cherney S, Morral AR, Schell, TL, Development of the RAND State Firearm Law Database and Supporting Materials. , RAND Corporation: Santa Monica. (TL-283), 2018

Jessica Saunders, Steven W. Popper, Andrew R. Morral, Robert C. Davis, Claude Berrebi, Kristin J. Leuschner, Shira Efron, Boaz Segalovitz, K. Jack Riley, Effective Policing for 21st-Century Israel, RAND (RR-287/1), 2014

Andrew R. Morral, Carter C. Price, David S. Ortiz, Bradley Wilson, Tom LaTourrette, Blake W. Mobley, Shawn McKay, Henry H. Willis, Modeling Terrorism Risk to the Air Transportation System: An Independent Assessment of TSA’s Risk Management Assessment Tool and Associated Methods., RAND (MG-1241-TSA), 2012

Honors & Awards

  • 2015 President's Award, Michael Rich, President and CEO of RAND
  • 2018 Leonard Schaefer Award, Michael Rich, President and CEO of RAND

Recent Media Appearances

Interviews: Christian Science Monitor Daily; JAMA Network; KQED-FM; Modern Healthcare Online; PBS NewsHour Online; WICD-TV

Commentary

  • A shadow of a hand holding a gun, photo by ugurhan/Getty Images

    'Stand Your Ground' Laws May Be Causing More Harm Than Good

    Americans have debated whether “stand your ground” laws or gun-free zones make us safer or less safe for decades. These are debates about factual matters that are, in principle, knowable. Without research on these and other topics, bad laws will inadvertently be passed or retained.

    Sep 12, 2019 Orlando Sentinel

  • Sign that reads No Firearms Allowed on School Property

    How to Bring Facts into the Gun Policy Debate

    As debate continues to rage over the causes and prevention of gun violence, it's worth asking how science can help lawmakers and the public resolve longstanding disagreements that have stood in the way of solutions.

    Mar 9, 2018 USA Today

  • The first U.S. Customs and Border Protection unmanned aerial vehicle in 2004.

    Improving DHS Accountability for Acquisitions

    While management at the Department of Homeland Security progressed in many areas during the past decade, there is still plenty of room for growth and improvement, especially in the area of acquisition management.

    Apr 22, 2014 The RAND Blog

  • A Hellenic Air Force Canadair CL-415 drops water over a forest fire northeast of Athens in August 2009

    Investing in Firefighting

    While the U.S. Forest Service has not completely agreed with RAND's proposal to transition to a fleet dominated by water-dropping scooper aircraft for fighting fires, they have leased one CL-415 scooper aircraft. It might be more cost-effective for the USFS to simply purchase it outright.

    Dec 30, 2013 The Orange County Register

  • Migrant workers load cucumbers into a truck in Blackwater, Virginia

    Is Enforcement Key to Fixing America's Immigration System?

    The current debate regarding comprehensive immigration reform offers an opportunity to redesign the worksite immigration enforcement system to achieve more efficient enforcement with better intelligence on where undocumented workers are employed, say Andrew Morral and Peter Brownell.

    Feb 15, 2013 CNN

  • A Glock 22 pistol is displayed at the Rocky Mountain Guns and Ammo store in Parker, Colorado, July 24, 2012

    Firearms and Gun Control: Many Questions, Some Answers

    President Obama's task force on gun violence has raised the stakes in the policy debate on gun control and policy in the wake of the recent shootings in Colorado and Connecticut. Some of RAND's top researchers share what is, and what isn't, known about firearms and gun control.

    Jan 17, 2013 The RAND Blog

  • Focus on the Worst Ex-Cons and Boost Community-Based Rehab

    Focus on the Worst Ex-Cons and Boost Community-Based Rehab in Riverside Press-Enterprise

    May 27, 2007 Riverside Press-Enterprise

Publications