The Global Course of the Information Revolution: Technological Trends

Proceedings of an International Conference

by Robert H. Anderson, Philip S. Anton, Steven C. Bankes, Tora K. Bikson, Jonathan P. Caulkins, Peter Denning, James A. Dewar, Richard Hundley, C. Richard Neu

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Note: Many electronic documents posted prior to 2003 are available as chapter PDFs or HTML files linked from the Contents.

Reports on a conference sponsored by the National Intelligence Council in May 2000 that concentrated on technical trends in the information revolution, focusing in particular on the resulting new artifacts and services that might become widespread during the next 20 years. Participants saw a convergence of voice and data communications and a quantum jump in bandwidth during the next two decades, along with limited machine translation. A multitude of diverse, powerful, inexpensive sensors and devices capable of limited-distance wireless communications will come onto the market and computing and information systems will become much more ubiquitous, with convergence of wireless telephones, voice and e-mail messaging, and smart appliances. A likely shift in business emphasis from products to services will have an impact in such areas as health care, education, entertainment, and supply-chain management. Participants also discussed individual and societal tensions that could arise from these developments, such as battles between advocates of “open” and “closed” worlds of protocols and standards, and the threats to intellectual property rights and to individual privacy.

Table of Contents

  • Preface PDF

  • Figures

    Figures and Tables PDF

  • Summary PDF

  • Acknowledgments PDF

  • Acronyms PDF

  • Chapter One

    Introduction PDF

  • Chapter Two

    Future Visions PDF

  • Chapter Three

    Observations on Future Trends PDF

  • Chapter Four

    Technology Trends and Artifacts PDF

  • Chapter Five

    Services PDF

  • Chapter Six

    Markets PDF

  • Chapter Seven

    Beyond Cyberspace PDF

  • Chapter Eight

    Some Observations on the Group Reports PDF

  • Chapter Nine

    Concluding Remarks PDF

  • Chapter Ten

    What Comes Next PDF

  • Appendix A

    Predicting the Unpredictable: Technology and Society PDF

  • Appendix B

    Conference Participants PDF

  • Appendix C

    Conference Agenda PDF

  • Bibliography PDF

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