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After a half century of remarkable growth, the global "system" of commercial air transport is showing clear signs of stress. This paper describes the current system and the changes that are occurring which pose increasing challenges to the aviation industry, regulators and governments. It argues that improvements in individual parts of the system will not be sufficient to deal with public concerns about safety and other issues resulting from anticipated future growth and change. Rather, it is time to take a fundamental look at the total system and how it could evolve to function more effectively in the new aviation environment of the 21st century.
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