Surgery for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Does It Improve Survival?

Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology, v. 11, no. 3, Mar. 2004, p. 298-303

Posted on RAND.org on December 31, 2003

by Jerome H. Liu, Pauline W. Chen, Steven M. Asch, Ronald W. Busuttil, Clifford Y. Ko

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BACKGROUND: The incidence and mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are increasing in the United States. Whether surgery is associated with improved survival at the population level is relatively unknown. To address this question, the authors used a population-based cancer registry to compare survival outcomes between patients receiving and not receiving surgery with similar tumor sizes and health status. METHODS: By using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, the authors identified HCC patients who had surgically resectable disease as defined by published expert guidelines. After excluding patients with contraindications to surgery, the authors performed both survival analysis and Cox regression to identify predictors of improved survival. RESULTS: Of the 4008 patients diagnosed with HCC between 1988 and 1998, 417 were candidates for surgical resection. The mean age was 63.6 years; mean tumor size was 3.3 cm. The 5-year overall survival with surgery was 33% with a mean of 47.1 months; without surgery, the 5-year overall survival was 7% with a mean of 17.9 months (P <.001). In the multivariate Cox regression, surgery was significantly associated with improved survival (P <.001). Specifically, patients who received surgery had a 55% decreased rate of death compared with patients who did not have surgery, even after controlling for tumor size, age, sex, and race. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that surgical therapy is associated with improved survival in patients with unifocal, nonmetastatic HCC tumors <5 cm. If this is confirmed in future studies, efforts should be made to ensure that appropriate patients with resectable HCC receive high-quality care, as well as the opportunity for potentially curative surgery.

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