Shaping the Future

Steven W. Popper, Robert J. Lempert, Steven C. Bankes

ResearchPosted on rand.org 2005Published in: Scientific American, v. 292, no. 4, Apr. 2005, p. 66-71

Science has become an essential part of decision making by governments and businesses, but uncertainty can foil decision-making frameworks such as cost-benefit analysis. People often end up doing nothing or taking steps that worsen the long-term outlook. -- The authors have developed an alternative framework focused on flexibility--finding, testing and implementing policies that work well no matter what happens. -- Policies can have built-in mechanisms to change with the circumstances. For climate change, one such mechanism is a safety valve to ensure that emissions reductions occur but do not get too expensive.

Topics

Document Details

  • Availability: Non-RAND
  • Year: 2005
  • Pages: 20
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.7249/pubs
  • Document Number: EP-200504-15

Research conducted by

This publication is part of the RAND external publication series. Many RAND studies are published in peer-reviewed scholarly journals, as chapters in commercial books, or as documents published by other organizations.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.