Forecasting Methodology

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  • Map of the state of Virginia with a virus on it, illustration by Maxchered/Getty Images

    Report

    Which COVID-19 Models Are Useful to Policymakers?

    Forecasting models are widely used to inform policymakers about the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and the effects of policy responses to it. As models are being developed and improved continually, a new RAND framework can assess which ones are suitable for the state of Virginia.

    Jul 8, 2020

  • Signpost silhouetted in the sunset, photo by Mato/Adbode Stock

    Commentary

    Why Did Nobody See It Coming? How Scenarios Can Help Us Prepare for the Future in an Uncertain World

    Scenarios are a useful tool for informing policy, guiding strategies, and accommodating future change. Using scenario planning to target potential problems or areas for development and building resilience can pinpoint robust policies that could be viable across a range of future states.

    Jan 28, 2022

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