Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty

Climate Change and Infrastructure Management

Published in: The Oxford Handbook of Planning for Climate Change Hazards (Sept 2018). doi: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190455811.013.50

Posted on RAND.org on November 12, 2019

by Kelly Klima, W. Tad Pfeffer, Joel B. Smith, Kristie L. Ebi

Read More

Access further information on this document at Oxford Handbooks Online

This article was published outside of RAND. The full text of the article can be found at the link above.

Decision making under questions of deep uncertainty can be vague or specific, open-ended or fixed, easy or hard. This chapter very briefly addresses issues and approaches to decision making on adaptation to climate change. Depending on the research question, a complicated set of multiple approaches and tools may be needed. To highlight the types of approaches, this chapter discusses a variety of decisionmaking tools and relates them to a particular problem: a homeowner choosing whether to do nothing, buy insurance, or elevate their home. The chapter culminates in a table summarizing the pros and cons of a variety of approaches.

Research conducted by

This report is part of the RAND Corporation external publication series. Many RAND studies are published in peer-reviewed scholarly journals, as chapters in commercial books, or as documents published by other organizations.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.