Tensions between United States and China have spurred a growing literature on the possibilities of great power transition and war. Even if war is avoided, the clash between US efforts to maintain an Asia-Pacific order favorable to its interests and China's own efforts to revamp that order in its favor raise the risk of an increasingly unsettled and unstable Asia-Pacific region. By providing a "middle range" theory on the role that competition and threat perceptions play in inter-state conflict, the literature on "strategic rivalry" can potentially contribute to the study of how the emerging "Asian disorder" might evolve and the risks it might entail.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation External publication series. Many RAND studies are published in peer-reviewed scholarly journals, as chapters in commercial books, or as documents published by other organizations.
Our mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/research-integrity.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.