Cover: Navigating Uncertainty in Public Health Decisionmaking

Navigating Uncertainty in Public Health Decisionmaking

The Role of a Value of Information Framework in Threat Agnostic Biosurveillance

Published in: Health Security, Volume 22, Number 1 (2024). doi: 10.1089/hs.2023.0070

Posted on rand.org Dec 14, 2023

by Jalal Awan, Laura J. Faherty, Henry H. Willis

Uncertainty is an inherent aspect of public health decisionmaking, especially in the context of high-impact, low-probability events such as pandemics. The catastrophic potential and number of disease scenarios that could manifest, the conflicting severe consequences of either overreacting or failing to act to mitigate a disease outbreak, and the challenge of detecting credible warning signals in a sea of noisy public health data create both demands for information to guide public health decisionmaking and wariness to act decisively in using it.

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