The Chinese Military Is Built for Politics, Not Fighting Wars

Timothy R. Heath

ResearchPosted on rand.org Jan 15, 2026Published in: Lawfare Institute website (2026)

Can China’s military defeat the U.S. military? Think tanks have warned that China’s military forces could prevail against U.S. forces. War games, which claim to simulate how such a conflict could unfold, have generally concluded that Chinese forces could either defeat U.S. forces or inflict such crippling losses that the United States would win (at most) a pyrrhic victory. The finding that China’s military could beat the U.S. military has been replicated so often that it has become conventional wisdom. Senior U.S. military officials, echoing the accepted wisdom, have repeatedly warned that China’s military can beat the U.S. military.

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Document Details

  • Availability: Non-RAND
  • Year: 2026
  • Pages: 1
  • Document Number: EP-71204

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