This report traces the factors that have perpetuated the territorial dispute between Russia and Japan, and the consequences of stalemate or settlement for U.S.-Japan relations. The U.S. and Japan are now at odds over Russia, since the U.S. has pressured Japan to join the rest of the G-7 in providing economic assistance to Russia. This situation is likely to worsen if Yeltsin falls. If he survives, Gelman recommends that the U.S. encourage Japan to renew (and improve) the offer of economic aid in exchange for the Northern Territories that had been made to Gorbachev in 1991. He notes that both Japan and the U.S. have strong incentives for maintaining the U.S.-Japan alliance, including offsetting economic tensions, reassuring Japan's Asian neighbors, and deterring nuclear proliferation in Japan and Korea.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.
Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.