Assessing the Performance of Mortality Prediction Models

Final Report for HCFA Severity Project

by David Hadorn, Emmett B. Keeler, William H. Rogers, Robert H. Brook

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Concerns about the cost and quality of health care have resulted in a national effort to determine the health outcomes of medical and surgical services. This report concentrates on developing criteria that risk-assessment systems should meet to permit consumers to intelligently evaluate them. It also presents a comparison of several selected mortality prediction models.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

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