The Effects of Military Base Closures on Local Communities

A Short-Term Perspective

by Michael Dardia, Kevin F. McCarthy, Jesse D. Malkin, Georges Vernez


Full Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 2.5 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback72 pages $15.00 $12.00 20% Web Discount

This study looked at three California communities, which are adjacent to three U.S. military bases that closed in the early 1990s. The following measures were used to evaluate the effects of base closures: size of local population and school enrollment; size of labor force, unemployment rates, taxable retail sales, and municipal revenues; and vacancy rates and sales prices of housing. Changes in these measures were compared to predicted changes, changes in similar communities where the bases had not closed, and changes in other communities in the same county. Researchers concluded that, although the closures had noticeable effects, they were (1) not as severe as predicted, (2) fairly localized, and (3) partially offset by other economic factors.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One


  • Chapter Two

    Outline of the Study

  • Chapter Three

    Study Plan

  • Chapter Four


  • Chapter Five

    Results and Conclusions

  • Appendix A

    Sources of Forecasts

  • Appendix B

    Data Sources

  • Appendix C

    Local Impact Areas

This report is part of the RAND Corporation monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.