Research Brief
Are Mandatory Minimum Drug Sentences Cost-Effective?
Jan 1, 1997
Throwing Away the Key or the Taxpayers' Money?
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Laws requiring minimum sentences for certain crimes have become increasingly popular, and the most frequently applied of these mandatory minimums are those pertaining to drug offenders. Proponents and opponents of mandatory minimums generally argue over issues of punishment, deterrence, justice, and fairness. The authors of the current study examine mandatory minimum drug sentences from the viewpoint of cost-effectiveness at achieving such national drug control objectives as reducing cocaine consumption and cocaine-related crime. They conduct their analysis with the help of mathematical models estimating the response of cocaine supply and demand to changes in levels of enforcement and treatment. The authors find that a million dollars spent extending sentences to mandatory minimum lengths would reduce cocaine consumption less than would a million dollars spent on the pre-mandatory-minimum mix of arrests, prosecution, and sentencing. Neither would reduce cocaine consumption or cocaine-related crime as much as spending a million dollars treating heavy users. These conclusions are robust to changes in various assumptions underlying the analysis.
Chapter One
Introduction
Part I
Part I
Chapter Two
The Laws and the Surrounding Debate
Chapter Three
Cost-Effectiveness at Reducing Cocaine Consumption and Expenditures
Chapter Four
Other Measures of Cost-Effectiveness
Chapter Five
Concluding Observations
Part II
Part II
Chapter Six
Longer Sentences for All Drug Dealers: Details of the Dynamic Analysis
Chapter Seven
Mandatory Minimums for Federally Prosecuted Drug Dealers: Details of the Static Analysis
Appendix A
Federal Mandatory Minimum Sentencing Laws for Drug Offenses
Appendix B
Derivation of Parameter Values
Appendix C
Derivation of Equations in Table 7.1
Appendix D
Estimating the Relationship Between Drug Markets and Crime
References
This research was supported by a gift from Richard B. Wolf of Richland Mills and by funding from The Ford Foundation. This study was carried out within RAND's Drug Policy Research Center.
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