Estimating the Time Required to Transition Aircraft Fleets to New Scheduled Maintenance Intervals

Irv K. Cohen, Eugene C. Poggio

Published 1979

Typically, decisionmakers are called upon to make decisions on aircraft inspection intervals on the basis of very limited analytic information. Under such circumstances, decisionmakers are understandably concerned about the risks incurred in extending inspection intervals. This Note presents in some detail a discussion of the phenomenon that although an immediate change is made in inspection intervals, it takes a considerable period of time for the fleet to transition to the changed interval. The slow fleet maturation may provide considerable opportunity to monitor and control the condition of the fleet during the transition period. Thus, in the case of extending inspection intervals, risk is reduced and spread over time while the payoff for the change is immediate.

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Cohen, Irv K. and Eugene C. Poggio, Estimating the Time Required to Transition Aircraft Fleets to New Scheduled Maintenance Intervals. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1979. https://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N1247.html.
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