Major Crimes as Analogs to Potential Threats to Nuclear Facilities and Programs
Part of an ongoing investigation, sponsored by Sandia Laboratories, of potential and actual criminal adversaries of U.S. nuclear facilities and programs. The RAND Corporation has developed over several years a considerable database involving many nonnuclear incidents that are analogous in some respects to potential incidents against nuclear facilities and programs. An earlier study outlined the methodology for the analysis of various categories of these incidents to provide insights regarding potential acts against and adversaries of nuclear programs. The present document deals with sophisticated and high-value burglaries, robberies, and other "conventional" crimes analogous in nature to the potential penetration of nuclear facilities or the theft of material or information from nuclear programs. The database analyzed in this study consists of 121 crimes; from it several observations are drawn.