The Challenge to Soviet Interests in Eastern Europe

Bulgaria and Czechoslovakia

by James Brown

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Bulgaria and Czechoslovakia have long been considered the Soviet Union's most stable allies in Eastern Europe, and neither appears likely to present challenges to Soviet interests in the near future. Nonetheless, both countries have been victims of the general economic downturn in the Eastern Bloc, and each is characterized by political trends that, combined with economic sluggishness, could indirectly threaten Soviet hegemony. This Note examines socioeconomic and political developments in Bulgaria and Czechoslovakia and considers the prospects of new instabilities in these two countries. The emphasis is on examining domestic factors that could lead to new challenges to Soviet interests in Eastern Europe in the next decade.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

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