An Enlisted Force Management System Model to Predict the Effects of Bonus Decisions

by Grace M. Carter, Debbie Drezner, Stanley E. Perrin, Clyde S. Sakai

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The RAND Corporation is helping to design an Enlisted Force Management System (EFMS) for the Air Force. This Note describes the design, specification, and prototype implementation of a module in the EFMS that will help skills managers make bonus decisions. That module, which is called the Bonus Effects Model, will enable skills managers to evaluate the effect of alternative bonus plans on projected bonus expenditures and on manpower imbalances in individual specialties. It provides estimates by planning year of bonus expenditures, reenlistments, and inventory by year of service; and it predicts how close both reenlistments and inventory will be to desired targets.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

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