Ethiopia's Economic Prospects for the 1990s

by Paul B. Henze


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This Note analyzes the deterioration of key sectors of the Ethiopian economy and projects current trends into the 1990s. It concludes that none of the adverse trends can be reversed in the 1990s without fundamental policy changes by the Marxist-Leninist government of the People's Democratic Republic of Ethiopia (PDRE). Sources for the judgments and projections include PDRE official documents, reports and analyses of Ethiopian and Western scholars and U.S. and international organizations, and the author's own research and observations during seven visits to Ethiopia between 1977 and 1988.

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