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Using a number of scenarios, this Note examines variables likely to affect U.S. NATO policy during the first term of the Bush Administration. The variables include both those factors introduced by the Administration and the Congress, and those stemming from the world in which policymakers find themselves. The Administration and the congressional leadership are dominated by pragmatic centrists who want to preserve NATO and who will not be anxious to initiate radical change. Therefore, major changes in NATO are not likely to be introduced by the United States.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

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