A Rule-Based Strategic Force Allocation Model, Version 2

by James Scouras, Mary J. Nissen


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FALCON is a computer model designed to allocate strategic weapons to targets and calculate expected target damage. The goals of its development are (1) to emphasize realism in the allocation and (2) to strive for simplicity in execution, maintenance, modification, and, above all, interpretation of results. FALCON operates on a set of prioritized target objectives defined by the user as damage expectancy goals for various target categories. It assigns weapons to targets by following an ordered set of procedures that lead to an allocation similar to the SIOP (Single Integrated Operations Plan) allocation. The allocation is done in two passes through the target objectives: the first pass is designed to cover as many targets as possible with an appropriate weapon; the second is to achieve damage expectancy goals not met in the first pass.

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