Cover: A vulnerability model for weapon sites with interdependent elements.

A vulnerability model for weapon sites with interdependent elements.

by Sidney I. Firstman

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A description of a simple "counting" model, using overlays and probability grids, which aids in determining the tradeoff, measured in survival probability, between site dispersal and hardening for a weapon complex composed of several interdependent elements, separated by distances of less than two lethal radii. The survival-probability expressions are obtained through the use of Markov chains. An example of vulnerability estimation by the use of the model is included.

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