An analytical model for developing optimal ballistic missile maintenance procedures.

Eloise E. Bean

Expert InsightsPublished 1959

An analytical model to determine the probability that the missile system is in an alert condition and that it will survive the countdown and launch phase with 0, 1, 2,..., n delays of known duration. Both of these aspects are examined for several sets of maintenance schedules and operational modes, allowing a determination of the set of conditions producing a maximum probability of a successful launch within a fixed period of time. When used in conjunction with vulnerability considerations, this model is a useful tool for obtaining the relationship between mode of operation, maintenance policy, and system effectiveness.

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Bean, Eloise E., An analytical model for developing optimal ballistic missile maintenance procedures. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1959. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P1696.html.
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